2 de Mayo vs Club Guarani
Estadio Monumental Río Parapití, Pedro Juan Caballero · Capacity 22,000 · grass · Referee: M. D. de Vivar
Value found
+3.7% edge2 de Mayo win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 45'A. D. Aguilera
- 45'Fredy Silvero (F. M. Caceres Aguero)
- 46'A. D. Aguilera (T. G. Portillo Avalos)
- 46'F. Silvero (F. M. Caceres Aguero)
- 58'M. Gonzalez (Matías Moya)
- 63'M. Anasco (V. Cespedes)
- 63'Substitution 1 (Victor·Cespedes)
- 67'M. Gomez
- 68'O. Romero (J. Sanguina)
- 71'M. Lopez (C. Arrua)
- 71'A. Méndez (P. Riveros)
- 81'T. Servin (P. Coronel)
- 81'J. Llano (L. Martinez)
- 85'A. Espinola (T. Cervera)
Lineups
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests 2 de Mayo is in solid form, currently unbeaten at home and showing strong results, particularly with three wins from three home matches this season. Meanwhile, Club Guarani's inconsistent performance away from home, combined with recent losses, indicates they may struggle against a confident 2 de Mayo side. The historical head-to-head advantage slightly favors 2 de Mayo, which adds to their prospects in this matchup.
- 2 de Mayo unbeaten at home this season with 3 wins from 3 matches
- 2 de Mayo has a strong recent form of WWDWW
- Club Guarani has lost 2 of their last 5 matches and sits 7th in the standings
- Recent head-to-head record is favorable for 2 de Mayo, winning 3 of the last 5 contests.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors 2 de Mayo
- Strong home record2 de Mayo
2 de Mayo have won 3 of their last 4 home matches.
3/4 home wins - Weak away recordClub Guarani
Club Guarani have won 1 of their last 3 away matches.
1/3 away wins - Good recent form2 de Mayo
2 de Mayo have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Historical edgeClub Guarani
Club Guarani have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked 2 de Mayo at 40% — final result was a draw, 2 de Mayo 0-0 Club Guarani.
Predicted score was 2-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- 2 de Mayo have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Club Guarani have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
2 de Mayo
Club GuaraniClub Guarani2 de MayoClub Guarani2 de MayoClub Guarani2 de Mayo2 de MayoClub Guarani2 de MayoClub GuaraniClub Guarani2 de MayoClub Guarani2 de MayoOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 de Mayo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 14 | WWDW |
| 7 | Club Guarani | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | LDWW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
2 de Mayo
Club Guarani
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OlimpiaFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win 2 de Mayo vs Club Guarani?+
Our AI model favors 2 de Mayo to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 30%, Club Guarani 30%).
Where is 2 de Mayo vs Club Guarani played?+
The match is played at Estadio Monumental Río Parapití, Pedro Juan Caballero (capacity 22,000).
What time does 2 de Mayo vs Club Guarani kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).