A. Italiano vs Nublense
Match events
- 9'M. Rivera (J. Campusano)
- 34'M. Fuentes
- 42'E. Ferrario
- 45+3'Pablo Calderón
- 65'Bryan Soto (A. Uribe)
- 65'M. Fuentes (M. Sandoval)
- 67'L. Molina Canto (C. Mansilla)
- 67'Pablo Calderón (F. Campos Mosqueira)
- 69'F. Campos Mosqueira
- 73'F. Mateos (F. Salomoni)
- 74'F. Troyansky (D. Coelho)
- 75'G. Graciani (V. Guzman)
- 75'G. Graciani (E. Calderon)
- 83'P. Guajardo (D. Pizarro)
- 85'M. Ortiz
- 90+2'M. Plaza
- 90+4'M. Plaza (A. Valdés)
- 90+5'M. Rivera (D. Saavedra)
- 90+5'D. Saavedra
- 90+12'César Pinares
Lineups
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 1.2
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-0
Data suggests A. Italiano has a strong historical edge in their recent matchups against Nublense, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings. While A. Italiano scored an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last 10 matches, Nublense struggled offensively, averaging only 1 goal per game. This context, combined with A. Italiano's recent performance at home, favors them for a narrow victory.
- A. Italiano has won the last 3 home games against Nublense
- Nublense has scored 1 goal or fewer in 4 of their last 5 matches
- Historically, A. Italiano has won 4 out of the last 5 encounters against Nublense
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked A. Italiano at 40% — final result was a draw, A. Italiano 2-2 Nublense.
Predicted score was 1-0.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- A. Italiano have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Nublense have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -3 | 22 | DDWL | |
| 4 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | +3 | 32 | WDWD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
A. Italiano
Nublense
More Primera División predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win A. Italiano vs Nublense?+
Our AI model favors A. Italiano to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 28%, Nublense 32%).
What time does A. Italiano vs Nublense kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).










