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A. Italiano vs Union La Calera

Primera División· Regular Season - 20
A. Italiano
0–0Full-time
Union La Calera
WWDDGoals 17-1713th in league
LLLLGoals 12-1916th in league
Home4W 4D 3L(18-13)
Away1W 2D 7L(4-21)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 26'J. Soto
  2. 27'César Pinares
  3. 36'B. Oyarzo Munoz
  4. 42'K. Méndez
  5. 46'Paolo Guajardo (G. Chiaverano)
  6. 59'Jonathan Andia (Yerko Leiva)
  7. 59'K. Méndez (F. Pozzo)
  8. 64'Marco Collao Ramos (Ariel Uribe)
  9. 67'V. Lavin
  10. 70'J. Soto (C. Villanueva)
  11. 70'B. Ferreyra (Matias Campos)
  12. 72'F. Mateos
  13. 76'César Pinares (Mario Sandoval)
  14. 76'Michael Fuentes (Favian Loyola)
  15. 79'Favian Loyola
  16. 81'Franco Troyansky (D. Coelho)
  17. 90+3'Raimundo Rebolledo
Lineups unavailable for this match.
A. ItalianoUnion La Calera
1.7
Goals/game
1.2
1.7
Conceded/game
1.9

AI match analysis

A. Italiano win
45%
Draw
29%
Union La Calera win
26%
63.9%BTTS
63%Over 2.5
23.5%A. Italiano clean sheet
16.5%Union La Calera clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests A. Italiano has a favorable outlook coming into this match, particularly with their solid home form where they have not lost in their last five games across all competitions. In contrast, Union La Calera has struggled significantly, especially in away matches, earning only one victory in their last nine attempts. The recent head-to-head history also favors A. Italiano, who has won four of their last five matchups against La Calera.

  • A. Italiano unbeaten in last 5 matches at home (W3, D2)
  • Union La Calera has one away win in 9 attempts this season
  • Historically, A. Italiano edges the recent head-to-head record with four wins in the last five encounters
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors A. Italiano

  • Strong recent formA. Italiano

    A. Italiano are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.

    3W 2D 0L
  • Poor recent formUnion La Calera

    Union La Calera have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 0D 5L
  • Weak home recordA. Italiano

    A. Italiano have won 4 of their last 11 home matches.

    4/11 home wins
  • Weak away recordUnion La Calera

    Union La Calera have won 1 of their last 10 away matches.

    1/10 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked A. Italiano at 45% — final result was a draw, A. Italiano 0-0 Union La Calera.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

A. Italiano2.06market 48.4% · model 45%
Draw ✓3.27market 30.6% · model 29%
Union La Calera3.41market 29.3% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • A. Italiano have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Union La Calera have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2A. Italiano wins
2Draws
4Union La Calera wins
9-12Goals
A. Italiano
4–3Oct 17, 2025, 9:00 PM
Union La Calera
Union La Calera
1–0Apr 25, 2025, 10:00 PM
A. Italiano
Union La Calera
2–1Sep 2, 2024, 12:00 AM
A. Italiano
A. Italiano
2–2Apr 15, 2024, 12:00 AM
Union La Calera
A. Italiano
2–1Sep 24, 2023, 11:00 PM
Union La Calera
Union La Calera
0–0Mar 18, 2023, 11:30 PM
A. Italiano
A. Italiano
0–2Oct 10, 2022, 8:30 PM
Union La Calera
Union La Calera
1–0May 10, 2022, 12:30 AM
A. Italiano

Odds comparison

Match winner

A. Italiano2.06▲best 2.22
Draw3.27▼best 3.54
Union La Calera3.41▼best 3.90

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.05best 2.16
Under 2.51.73▲best 1.78

Both teams to score

Yes1.81▼best 1.89
No1.88▲best 1.95

Double chance

A. Italiano/Draw1.27▲best 1.35
A. Italiano/Union La Calera1.28▲best 1.31
Draw/Union La Calera1.72▼best 1.90

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62▲best 2.62
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44▼best 1.44
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.50▼best 3.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.28▲best 1.28

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

A. Italiano2.06▲ 0.25
Draw3.27▼ 0.03
Union La Calera3.41▼ 0.69
19 Aug – 22 Aug

Model vs market

A. Italiano win+0.3pp
AI
45%
Market
44.7%
Draw+0.8pp
AI
29%
Market
28.2%
Union La Calera win-1pp
AI
26%
Market
27%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
13
A. Italiano
20578-322DDWL
16
Union La Calera
203512-2014LLLD

Pre-match comparison

1.7Goals scored per game1.2
1.7Goals conceded per game1.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

A. Italiano

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

Union La Calera

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win A. Italiano vs Union La Calera?+

Our AI model favors A. Italiano to win, with a 45% probability (Draw 29%, Union La Calera 26%).

What time does A. Italiano vs Union La Calera kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).