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AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas

Segunda División· Regular Season - 2
AD Ceuta FC
0–2Full-time
Las Palmas
LWWLGoals 10-1622nd in league
LDWWGoals 16-141st in league
Home0W 0D 1L(0-2)
Away1W 0D 0L(2-0)
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube

Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta · Capacity 7,000 · artificial turf · Referee: P. Moreno

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 31'Taisei Miyashiro
  2. 32'Adrián Romero
  3. 50'Kialy Abdoul Kone
  4. 64'Y. Bodiger (Alejandro Meléndez)
  5. 64'A. Camacho (Cedric Teguia)
  6. 66'Jesé Rodríguez (R. Cruz)
  7. 69'Manuel Fuster (Taisei Miyashiro)
  8. 73'Kuki Zalazar (Gabriel Okoro)
  9. 76'Enzo Loiodice (I. Gonzalez)
  10. 87'G. Bonfanti (Sergio Ruiz Alonso)
  11. 87'J. Betancor (E. Romero)
  12. 87'J. Betancor (A. Rodriguez)
  13. 87'Manuel Fuster (Sandro Ramírez)
  14. 90+3'Cedric Teguia
  15. 90'Redru (Matos)
  16. 90'Manuel Fuster (E. Romero)
  17. 90'G. Bonfanti (Sergio Ruiz Alonso)
  18. 90'Manuel Fuster (Sandro Ramírez)

Lineups

AD Ceuta FC
Las Palmas
4-3-34-4-2
13. Guillermo Vallejo
← 90'
16. Redru
5
5. A. Lapena
6. Carlos
23
23. Anuar Tuhami
10. Marino Illescas
14
← 64'
14. Y. Bodiger
← 73'
8. Kuki Zalazar
22. Kialy Abdoul Kone
9. Jordi Escobar
7. Alejandro Camacho
← 66'
10. Jesé Rodríguez
7
← 87'
7. J. Betancor
← 90'
14. Manuel Fuster
20
20. Kirian Rodríguez
← 76'
12. Enzo Loiodice
11. Taisei Miyashiro
27. Valentin Pezzolesi
4. Alex Suárez
15. Juanma Herzog
21
← 90'
21. G. Bonfanti
13
13. Churripi
Jose RomeroCoachRuben de la Barrera
Bench (9)
Bench (12)
AD Ceuta FCLas Palmas
1.0
Goals/game
1.6
1.6
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

AD Ceuta FC win
32%
Draw
28%
Las Palmas win
40%
55.8%BTTS
53.1%Over 2.5
20.2%AD Ceuta FC clean sheet
30.1%Las Palmas clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests a competitive matchup, but Las Palmas appears to have the advantage based on recent performance and head-to-head history. AD Ceuta FC's struggles with a significant goal differential could hinder their chances at home. Overall, the numbers favor Las Palmas to secure a victory with a predicted scoreline of 2-1.

  • Las Palmas ranks 6th with 3 points from 1 match played, indicating strong early form.
  • AD Ceuta FC has a negative goal difference of -4 after their opening match.
  • Historically, Las Palmas has dominated head-to-head encounters, winning 4-0 in their last match against Ceuta.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
73/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Las Palmas

  • Higher league positionLas Palmas

    Las Palmas sit 21 places above AD Ceuta FC in the table.

    #1 vs #22
  • Historical edgeLas Palmas

    Las Palmas have won 1 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.

    1/2 H2H wins
  • Good recent formLas Palmas

    Las Palmas have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Sharper attackLas Palmas

    Las Palmas are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.6/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Las Palmas at 40% — final result was Las Palmas win, AD Ceuta FC 0-2 Las Palmas.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Las Palmas ✓2.39market 41.9% · model 40%
AD Ceuta FC2.91market 34.4% · model 32%
Draw3.24market 30.9% · model 28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • AD Ceuta FC have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Las Palmas have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0AD Ceuta FC wins
1Draws
1Las Palmas wins
1-5Goals
Las Palmas
4–0Mar 8, 2026, 1:00 PM
AD Ceuta FC
AD Ceuta FC
1–1Dec 14, 2025, 8:00 PM
Las Palmas

Odds comparison

Match winner

AD Ceuta FC2.91▼best 3.15
Draw3.24▲best 3.42
Las Palmas2.39▼best 2.47

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.87▼best 2.00
Under 2.51.91▲best 2.03

Both teams to score

Yes1.65▼best 1.80
No2.12▲best 2.25

Double chance

AD Ceuta FC/Draw1.54best 1.57
AD Ceuta FC/Las Palmas1.31▼best 1.36
Draw/Las Palmas1.38▲best 1.42

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.50▲best 3.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.28▼best 1.28
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.75▲best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.25▼best 1.25

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

AD Ceuta FC2.91▼ 0.46
Draw3.24▲ 0.15
Las Palmas2.39▲ 0.23
19 Aug – 22 Aug

Model vs market

AD Ceuta FC win-0.1pp
AI
32%
Market
32.1%
Draw-0.8pp
AI
28%
Market
28.8%
Las Palmas win+0.9pp
AI
40%
Market
39.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
22
AD Ceuta FC
2002-60LL
1
Las Palmas
2200+36WW

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game1.6
1.6Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

AD Ceuta FC

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
100%

Las Palmas

0-15'
0%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas?+

Our AI model favors Las Palmas to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 28%, AD Ceuta FC 32%).

Where is AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas played?+

The match is played at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta (capacity 7,000).

What time does AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).