Adelaide United vs Công An Nhân Dân

AFC Champions League Elite· 1st Preliminary Round
WWDLGoals 15-13
WDWLGoals 23-9
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 8'L. Adou
  2. 22'Panagiotis Kikianis
  3. 31'H. Crawford
  4. 41'D. Henen (Brayan Perea)
  5. 64'Brayan Perea (D. Henen)
  6. 66'Juan Muñiz (J. Brazete)
  7. 66'C. Goodwin (Anselmo)
  8. 66'Jonny Yull (B. Burkitt)
  9. 71'D. Henen (Pham Minh Phuc)
  10. 76'F. Talladira (Luke Duzel)
  11. 87'Alan Grafite (Hoang Van Toan)
  12. 90+2'Damia Sabater (Bui Xuan Thinh)
  13. 90+2'Brayan Perea (Dinh Thanh Binh)
  14. 90+5'Dinh Thanh Binh

Lineups

Adelaide UnitedCông An Nhân Dân
1.5
Goals/game
2.3
1.3
Conceded/game
0.9

AI match analysis

Adelaide United win
60.81%
Draw
20.4%
Công An Nhân Dân win
18.79%
58.3%BTTS
57.7%Over 2.5
16.5%Adelaide United clean sheet
30.1%Công An Nhân Dân clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Adelaide United has a strong advantage, particularly with their recent form at home, where they remain unbeaten in their last three fixtures. Meanwhile, Công An Nhân Dân struggles significantly, having lost their last three matches and showing defensive vulnerabilities. The scoring averages indicate that Adelaide is likely to secure a narrow victory, with a predicted final score of 2-1.

  • Adelaide United unbeaten in last 3 home matches
  • Công An Nhân Dân has lost last 3 matches
  • Adelaide United averages 1.5 goals at home over last 10 matches
  • Công An Nhân Dân has conceded 3 goals in last 2 matches

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Adelaide United at 60.81% — final result was Công An Nhân Dân win, Adelaide United 0-2 Công An Nhân Dân.

Predicted score was 2-1.

Closing odds vs. our model

Adelaide United1.54market 64.9% · model 60.81%
Draw4.24market 23.6% · model 20.4%
Công An Nhân Dân4.93market 20.3% · model 18.79%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Adelaide United have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Công An Nhân Dân have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Adelaide United1.54best 1.58
Draw4.24best 4.67
Công An Nhân Dân4.93best 5.25

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.57best 1.60
Under 2.52.29best 2.38

Both teams to score

Yes1.63best 1.67
No2.12best 2.15

Double chance

Adelaide United/Draw1.14best 1.18
Adelaide United/Công An Nhân Dân1.17best 1.20
Draw/Công An Nhân Dân2.30best 2.40

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Adelaide United1.54 0.16
Draw4.24 0.29
Công An Nhân Dân4.93 0.58
10 Aug11 Aug

Model vs market

Adelaide United win+1.1pp
AI
60.81%
Market
59.7%
Draw-1.3pp
AI
20.4%
Market
21.7%
Công An Nhân Dân win+0.2pp
AI
18.79%
Market
18.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game2.3
1.3Goals conceded per game0.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Công An Nhân Dân

0-15'
0%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Adelaide United vs Công An Nhân Dân?+

Our AI model favors Adelaide United to win, with a 60.81% probability (Draw 20.4%, Công An Nhân Dân 18.79%).

What time does Adelaide United vs Công An Nhân Dân kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).