Akhmat vs Fakel
Match events
- 1'G. Melkadze
- 23'Anton Kovalev
- 31'Egas Cacintura
- 46'K. Shchetinin (Júlio Romão)
- 46'K. Simonov (D. Todorović)
- 46'M. Uridia (N. Giorgobiani)
- 61'G. Kenzhebek (L. Sadulaev)
- 61'M. Keliano (Ousmane N’Dong)
- 70'G. Melkadze (M. Konaté)
- 71'Anton Kovalev (Axel Gnapi)
- 71'A. Bagamaev (I. Alshin)
- 77'R. Netfullin (A. Sutormin)
- 79'Egas Cacintura (A. Kasadzhikov)
Lineups
- 1.2
- Goals/game
- 0.6
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 0.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The analysis suggests a tightly contested match between Akhmat and Fakel, with both teams having drawn their last encounter and not exhibiting strong scoring form in recent matches. Akhmat averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Fakel's figures stand at 0.7 scored and 1 conceded per game. Historical head-to-head results indicate a tendency for close outcomes, leading to a predicted scoreline of 1-1.
- Both teams have drawn in their last meeting
- Akhmat has only scored 0.8 goals per game in their last 10 matches
- Fakel has a slightly lower scoring average of 0.7 goals per game
- Historical head-to-head matches show frequent draws and close outcomes
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Akhmat
- Historical edgeFakel
Fakel have won 3 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
3/7 H2H wins - Sharper attackAkhmat
Akhmat are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game - Tighter defenseFakel
Fakel are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Akhmat at 46% — final result was Akhmat win, Akhmat 2-1 Fakel.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Akhmat have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Fakel have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 7 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 6 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Akhmat
Fakel
More Cup predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Akhmat vs Fakel?+
Our AI model favors Akhmat to win, with a 46% probability (Draw 29%, Fakel 25%).
What time does Akhmat vs Fakel kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 18, 2026, 5:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).