Akron vs Krylia Sovetov
Value found
+4.4% edgeAkron win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 3'Roberto Fernández
- 19'N. Chernov (Y. Gorshkov)
- 36'M. Vityugov
- 42'Fernando Costanza (A. Rahmanović)
- 43'Kristijan Bistrović
- 54'I. Chesnokov
- 57'Kristijan Bistrović (K. Khosonov)
- 58'K. Maradishvili (N. Bazilevskiy)
- 58'A. Dmitriev (Dudu)
- 64'M. Kramarič (V. Shitov)
- 64'I. Chesnokov (D. Oroz)
- 64'M. Vityugov (K. Stolbov)
- 73'N. Chernov
- 76'D. Oroz
- 78'João Escoval
- 81'I. Oleynikov (K. Mukailov)
- 85'Dudu
- 90+1'N. Bazilevskiy
- 90+2'V. Shitov (Y. Gorshkov)
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 1.3
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The match presents a closely contested scenario with both teams struggling in the early season, each having just 2 points from their first four games. Akron is yet to secure a home victory and Krylia Sovetov has failed to win on the road, suggesting a strong likelihood for a low-scoring encounter. Statistical trends indicate a balanced matchup, with recent head-to-head results slightly favoring Krylia Sovetov, contributing to the expectation of a draw.
- Akron has not won any home matches this season (0W 0D 2L)
- Krylia Sovetov has not won any away matches this season (0W 2D 0L)
- Historically, Krylia Sovetov has a dominant head-to-head record with 4 wins in their last 5 encounters against Akron.
- Both teams have struggled for goals lately, averaging under 1.5 scored per game in recent matches.
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Akron
- Poor recent formKrylia Sovetov
Krylia Sovetov have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Historical edgeAkron
Akron have won 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
2/4 H2H wins - Sharper attackKrylia Sovetov
Krylia Sovetov are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game - Tighter defenseAkron
Akron are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Akron at 36.25% — final result was Krylia Sovetov win, Akron 0-3 Krylia Sovetov.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Akron have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Krylia Sovetov have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 6 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 |  Akron | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -9 | 2 | DDLL |
| 11 |  Krylia Sovetov | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 | LLDD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
A. Prokopov
Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Akron
Krylia Sovetov
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DynamoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Akron vs Krylia Sovetov?+
Our AI model favors Akron to win, with a 36.25% probability (Draw 27.9%, Krylia Sovetov 35.85%).
What time does Akron vs Krylia Sovetov kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 10:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).