Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha

Pro League· Regular Season - 2
Al-Ahli Jeddah
40Full-time
Abha
WWWWGoals 21-64th in league
LLLDGoals 9-2117th in league
Home1W 0D 0L(4-0)
Away0W 0D 1L(0-4)
King Abdullah Sports City

King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah · Capacity 63,079 · grass

Value found

+11.6% edge

Abha win

10AI fair odds
11.16Bookmaker odds
+11.6%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 5'I. Toney (E. Spertsyan)
  2. 13'I. Toney
  3. 41'E. Spertsyan
  4. 46'Z. Al Hawsawi (Saad Yaslam Balobaid)
  5. 46'Basil Yousef Al-Sayyali (K. Boumedmed)
  6. 51'Francisco Trincão
  7. 57'I. Toney (Francisco Trincão)
  8. 66'Wenderson Galeno (M. Al Mutairi)
  9. 66'I. Toney (Firas Al-Buraikan)
  10. 66'E. Spertsyan (S. Abu Al Shamat)
  11. 66'L. Rosier (M. Al-Zaid)
  12. 66'A. Hindi (N. Fekir)
  13. 66'A. Hindi (K. Al Shamrani)
  14. 66'F. Al Ghamdi (N. Fekir)
  15. 66'F. Al Ghamdi (K. Al Shamrani)
  16. 76'N. Al Daajani (F. Al Subiani)
  17. 81'Z. Al Johani
  18. 84'V. Atangana (N. Masoud)
  19. 86'N. Fekir
  20. 90+3'F. Al Subiani

Lineups

Al-Ahli JeddahAbha
2.1
Goals/game
0.9
0.6
Conceded/game
2.1

AI match analysis

Al-Ahli Jeddah win
77%
Draw
13%
Abha win
10%
46.3%BTTS
54.2%Over 2.5
47.2%Al-Ahli Jeddah clean sheet
12.2%Abha clean sheet

Predicted score: 3-1

Data suggests Al-Ahli Jeddah is in strong form with a perfect recent record, while Abha struggles defensively, having lost their last three games. The historical head-to-head performances heavily favor Al-Ahli Jeddah, which further supports a favorable outcome for the home team in this matchup.

  • Al-Ahli Jeddah has won their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game.
  • Abha has lost their last 3 matches, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game.
  • Historically, Al-Ahli Jeddah has dominated recent head-to-head encounters, winning 4 out of the last 5 matches against Abha.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Al-Ahli Jeddah

  • Strong recent formAl-Ahli Jeddah

    Al-Ahli Jeddah are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.

    5W 0D 0L
  • Poor recent formAbha

    Abha have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Sharper attackAl-Ahli Jeddah

    Al-Ahli Jeddah are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.1/game
  • Tighter defenseAl-Ahli Jeddah

    Al-Ahli Jeddah are conceding just 0.6 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.6/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Al-Ahli Jeddah at 77% — final result was Al-Ahli Jeddah win, Al-Ahli Jeddah 4-0 Abha.

Predicted score was 3-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Al-Ahli Jeddah1.20market 83.4% · model 77%
Draw6.47market 15.4% · model 13%
Abha11.16market 9% · model 10%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Al-Ahli Jeddah have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Abha have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Al-Ahli Jeddah wins
2Draws
2Abha wins
20-8Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Al-Ahli Jeddah1.20best 1.24
Draw6.47best 7.19
Abha11.16best 14.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.40best 1.44
Under 2.52.82best 2.94

Both teams to score

Yes1.84best 1.95
No1.85best 1.91

Double chance

Al-Ahli Jeddah/Draw1.03best 1.06
Al-Ahli Jeddah/Abha1.10best 1.12
Draw/Abha4.14best 4.50

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.10best 2.10
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.67best 1.67
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes11.00best 11.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.05best 1.05

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Al-Ahli Jeddah1.20
Draw6.47 0.56
Abha11.16 0.49
19 Aug21 Aug

Model vs market

Al-Ahli Jeddah win-0.4pp
AI
77%
Market
77.4%
Draw-1.3pp
AI
13%
Market
14.3%
Abha win+1.7pp
AI
10%
Market
8.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
4
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2200+56WW
17
Abha
3012-51DLL

Pre-match comparison

2.1Goals scored per game0.9
0.6Goals conceded per game2.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Al-Ahli Jeddah

0-15'
0%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
25%

Abha

0-15'
0%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
50%

More Pro League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?+

Our AI model favors Al-Ahli Jeddah to win, with a 77% probability (Draw 13%, Abha 10%).

Where is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha played?+

The match is played at King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah (capacity 63,079).

What time does Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).