Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha

King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah · Capacity 63,079 · grass
Value found
+11.6% edgeAbha win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 5'I. Toney (E. Spertsyan)
- 13'I. Toney
- 41'E. Spertsyan
- 46'Z. Al Hawsawi (Saad Yaslam Balobaid)
- 46'Basil Yousef Al-Sayyali (K. Boumedmed)
- 51'Francisco Trincão
- 57'I. Toney (Francisco Trincão)
- 66'Wenderson Galeno (M. Al Mutairi)
- 66'I. Toney (Firas Al-Buraikan)
- 66'E. Spertsyan (S. Abu Al Shamat)
- 66'L. Rosier (M. Al-Zaid)
- 66'A. Hindi (N. Fekir)
- 66'A. Hindi (K. Al Shamrani)
- 66'F. Al Ghamdi (N. Fekir)
- 66'F. Al Ghamdi (K. Al Shamrani)
- 76'N. Al Daajani (F. Al Subiani)
- 81'Z. Al Johani
- 84'V. Atangana (N. Masoud)
- 86'N. Fekir
- 90+3'F. Al Subiani
Lineups
- 2.1
- Goals/game
- 0.9
- 0.6
- Conceded/game
- 2.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-1
Data suggests Al-Ahli Jeddah is in strong form with a perfect recent record, while Abha struggles defensively, having lost their last three games. The historical head-to-head performances heavily favor Al-Ahli Jeddah, which further supports a favorable outcome for the home team in this matchup.
- Al-Ahli Jeddah has won their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game.
- Abha has lost their last 3 matches, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game.
- Historically, Al-Ahli Jeddah has dominated recent head-to-head encounters, winning 4 out of the last 5 matches against Abha.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Al-Ahli Jeddah
- Strong recent formAl-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Ahli Jeddah are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.
5W 0D 0L - Poor recent formAbha
Abha have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Sharper attackAl-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Ahli Jeddah are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.1/game - Tighter defenseAl-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Ahli Jeddah are conceding just 0.6 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.6/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Al-Ahli Jeddah at 77% — final result was Al-Ahli Jeddah win, Al-Ahli Jeddah 4-0 Abha.
Predicted score was 3-1.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Al-Ahli Jeddah have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Abha have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | WW | |
| 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Abha
More Pro League predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?+
Our AI model favors Al-Ahli Jeddah to win, with a 77% probability (Draw 13%, Abha 10%).
Where is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha played?+
The match is played at King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah (capacity 63,079).
What time does Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).










