Al-Arabi SC vs Al Shamal

Stars League· Regular Season - 1
Al-Arabi SC
22Full-time
Al Shamal
WDLLGoals 14-166th in league
LLLWGoals 13-142nd in league
Home0W 1D 0L(2-2)
Away1W 1D 0L(5-3)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 3'Pablo Sarabia (I. Lihadji)
  2. 4'Goal Under Review — Pablo Sarabia
  3. 39'M. Awad
  4. 49'K. Bauobida
  5. 59'Pablo Sarabia (Rodri)
  6. 60'H. Bahzad (M. Termanini)
  7. 60'W. Said (A. Al Saeed)
  8. 64'Alexis Pérez
  9. 67'F. Waad (A. Hassan)
  10. 67'B. Bounedjah (Alex Collado)
  11. 73'Y. Snana (M. Olunga)
  12. 74'Jordan Veretout (Oussama Tannane)
  13. 74'Pablo Sarabia (A. Mahajneh)
  14. 75'M. Sherif
  15. 81'Alex Collado (Pablo Mari)
  16. 81'A. Asad (Ahmed Sayyar)
  17. 84'M. Hrimat
  18. 85'M. Khoder
  19. 86'Oussama Tannane (Ahmed Fathy)
  20. 88'Ahmed Fathy
  21. 90+3'A. Al Saeed
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Al-Arabi SCAl Shamal
1.4
Goals/game
1.3
1.6
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Al-Arabi SC win
35%
Draw
25%
Al Shamal win
40%
57.7%BTTS
54.2%Over 2.5
23.5%Al-Arabi SC clean sheet
24.7%Al Shamal clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests a competitive matchup between Al-Arabi SC and Al Shamal, with both teams failing to secure points in their opening fixtures. Al-Arabi SC's recent form shows defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match, while Al Shamal has performed well against them historically, winning 3 of their last 5 encounters. The numbers favor an away win, potentially leading to a scoreline favoring Al Shamal.

  • Al-Arabi SC conceded an average of 1.6 goals over their last 10 matches.
  • Al Shamal, in recent matches, has averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded.
  • Historically, Al Shamal has a favorable head-to-head record against Al-Arabi SC with 3 wins in the last 5 encounters.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
71/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Al Shamal

  • Poor recent formAl Shamal

    Al Shamal have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Higher league positionAl Shamal

    Al Shamal sit 4 places above Al-Arabi SC in the table.

    #2 vs #6
  • Sharper attackAl-Arabi SC

    Al-Arabi SC are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game
  • Tighter defenseAl Shamal

    Al Shamal are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Al Shamal at 40% — final result was a draw, Al-Arabi SC 2-2 Al Shamal.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Al Shamal2.42market 41.3% · model 40%
Al-Arabi SC2.47market 40.5% · model 35%
Draw3.54market 28.3% · model 25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Al-Arabi SC have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Al Shamal have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Al-Arabi SC wins
2Draws
3Al Shamal wins
9-11Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Al-Arabi SC2.47best 2.72
Draw3.54best 3.80
Al Shamal2.42best 2.59

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.50best 1.54
Under 2.52.40best 2.55

Both teams to score

Yes1.43best 1.46
No2.58best 2.75

Double chance

Al-Arabi SC/Draw1.48best 1.60
Al-Arabi SC/Al Shamal1.23best 1.27
Draw/Al Shamal1.45best 1.53

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.20best 1.20
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.33best 4.33
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.17best 1.17
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.50best 4.50

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Al-Arabi SC2.47 0.22
Draw3.54
Al Shamal2.42 0.19
18 Aug21 Aug

Model vs market

Al-Arabi SC win-1.8pp
AI
35%
Market
36.8%
Draw-0.7pp
AI
25%
Market
25.7%
Al Shamal win+2.5pp
AI
40%
Market
37.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
6
Al-Arabi SC
101001D
2
Al Shamal
2110+24WD

Pre-match comparison

1.4Goals scored per game1.3
1.6Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Al Shamal

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
66.7%

More Stars League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Al-Arabi SC vs Al Shamal?+

Our AI model favors Al Shamal to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 25%, Al-Arabi SC 35%).

What time does Al-Arabi SC vs Al Shamal kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 4:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).