Al-Hazm vs Al Diriyah — Pro League

Pro League· Regular Season - 2

Al-Hazm

0–1Full-time

Al Diriyah

WWWWWLGoals 16-1511th in league

LLDGoals 2-69th in league

Home0W 0D 1L(0-1)

Away1W 0D 0L(1-0)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

3'A. Al Malki (Óscar Rodríguez)
31'Abdurahman Al-Dakheel
52'S. Al Rashid
63'Georges-Kévin N'Koudou (Hattan Bahebri)
66'A. Al Shamrani (M. Al Hamdani)
79'S. Al Rashid (W. Al Shanqiti)
79'A. Al Malki (Sultan Farhan)
79'Sofiane Bendebka (A. Diakite)
90+2'Hattan Bahebri
90+5'B. Lage
90+8'M. Ben Hamida (Mohammed Essa Harbush)
90+8'A. Bah (Ahmed Al-Nakhli)
90'Gaëtan Laborde (M. Al Nemer)
90'Óscar Rodríguez (Qasim Lajami)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Al-HazmAl Diriyah

1.6
Goals/game: 0.7; 1.5
Conceded/game: 2.0

AI match analysis

Al-Hazm win

28.77%

Draw

25.88%

Al Diriyah win

45.35%

55.2%BTTS

55%Over 2.5

33.8%Al-Hazm clean sheet

16.5%Al Diriyah clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The numbers favor Al-Hazm, who have shown promising form with three consecutive victories, while Al Diriyah is struggling with two straight losses and only 0.5 goals scored on average in their last two games. Al-Hazm's scoring average of 1.4 goals per game suggests they can find the net, but they might face challenges keeping a clean sheet based on their recent defensive record.

Al-Hazm won their last three matches
Al Diriyah lost their last two matches
Al-Hazm has a stronger recent scoring average than Al Diriyah

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

74/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Al Diriyah

Good recent formAl-Hazm
Al-Hazm have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Poor recent formAl Diriyah
Al Diriyah have lost 2 of their last 3 matches.
0W 1D 2L
Tighter defenseAl-Hazm
Al-Hazm are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game conceded
Higher league positionAl Diriyah
Al Diriyah sit 2 places above Al-Hazm in the table.
#9 vs #11

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

Limited recent-match sample
Al Diriyah has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Al Diriyah at 45.35% — final result was Al Diriyah win, Al-Hazm 0-1 Al Diriyah.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (74/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Al Diriyah ✓2.03market 49.3% · model 45.35%

Al-Hazm3.27market 30.5% · model 28.77%

Draw3.52market 28.4% · model 25.88%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Al-Hazm have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Al Diriyah have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 3 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Al-Hazm3.27▲best 3.45

Draw3.52▼best 3.70

Al Diriyah2.03▼best 2.11

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.68best 1.72

Under 2.52.13▼best 2.20

Both teams to score

Yes1.57▲best 1.57

No2.25▼best 2.32

Double chance

Al-Hazm/Draw1.71▼best 1.80

Al-Hazm/Al Diriyah1.26best 1.30

Draw/Al Diriyah1.30best 1.33

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.50best 4.50

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.18best 1.18

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.25best 3.25

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.33best 1.33

Average and best price across 10 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Al-Hazm3.27▲ 0.04

Draw3.52▲ 0.15

Al Diriyah2.03▲ 0.03

20 Aug – 21 Aug

Model vs market

Al-Hazm win+0.6pp

28.77%

Market

28.2%

Draw-0.4pp

25.88%

Market

26.3%

Al Diriyah win-0.1pp

45.35%

Market

45.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.