Al Nasr vs Al Wahda FC
Al Maktoum Stadium, Dubai · Capacity 15,058 · grass
Value found
+0.3% edgeAl Wahda FC win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 45+1'A. Toure (A. Toure)
- 45+1'Z. Al Zaabi
- 45+1'Goal Disallowed - video review — Z. Al Zaabi
- 45+3'K. Agudelo
- 50'Marius Hoibraten
- 54'Chris Bedia
- 68'F. Kruspzky (G. Álvarez Suárez)
- 69'Jadsom (A. Hamad)
- 70'M. Burghash (Guga)
- 70'Brahima Diarra (A. Pradas)
- 71'Marius Marin (Mohammad Abdulbasit)
- 71'Chris Bedia (L. Wamba)
- 83'Ajdin Hrustic (M. Ndiaye)
- 84'A. Toure (M. Ghaedi)
- 85'M. Ghorbani (Christian Benteke)
- 86'I. Faiz (Felipe Motta)
- 1.7
- Goals/game
- 1.1
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 1.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests a competitive matchup, with Al Nasr having drawn their last two matches, while Al Wahda FC comes off a loss. Historically, Al Wahda FC has outperformed Al Nasr in recent encounters, including two draws and a narrow victory. Given Al Wahda's stronger recent form and goals conceded averages, they may likely take a slight advantage in this fixture.
- Al Nasr has drawn their last two matches
- Al Wahda FC lost their last match and has a lower recent scoring average
- Historical head-to-heads show a tendency for Al Wahda FC to edge Al Nasr
- Al Wahda FC has a stronger recent form overall despite having not played away this season.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Al Wahda FC
- Poor recent formAl Wahda FC
Al Wahda FC have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Sharper attackAl Nasr
Al Nasr are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.7/game - Historical edgeAl Wahda FC
Al Wahda FC have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Tighter defenseAl Nasr
Al Nasr are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Al Wahda FC at 42% — final result was Al Nasr win, Al Nasr 1-0 Al Wahda FC.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (77/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Al Nasr have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Al Wahda FC have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Al Nasr
Al Wahda FCAl Wahda FCAl NasrAl Wahda FCAl NasrAl NasrAl Wahda FCAl Wahda FCAl NasrAl NasrAl Wahda FCAl NasrAl Wahda FCAl Wahda FCAl NasrOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al Nasr | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | WD |
| 10 | Al Wahda FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Al Nasr
Al Wahda FC
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Al-DhafraFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Al Nasr vs Al Wahda FC?+
Our AI model favors Al Wahda FC to win, with a 42% probability (Draw 30%, Al Nasr 28%).
Where is Al Nasr vs Al Wahda FC played?+
The match is played at Al Maktoum Stadium, Dubai (capacity 15,058).
What time does Al Nasr vs Al Wahda FC kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 4:35 PM (your local time, based on your device).