Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh
Value found
+4.5% edgeAl-Fateh win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 3'F. Al Abdulwahed
- 18'Saad Al-Nasser (S. Al Najdi)
- 37'Angelo (S. Al Najdi)
- 40'Joao Felix (S. Mane)
- 46'F. Al Abdulwahed (W. Kanga)
- 52'Joao Felix
- 63'F. Al Zubaidi (Ramos Jefferson)
- 64'A. R. Al Khaibre (A. I. Al Khaibari)
- 66'Kingsley Coman (A. Yahya)
- 66'Joao Felix (Samu Costa)
- 73'Samu Costa (A. Al Hamdan)
- 77'S. Mane (S. Al Najei)
- 77'A. Al Hamdan (Mohammed Khalil Marran)
- 80'L. Haraslin (Ali Al Masoud)
- 81'Saeed Baattia (Bin Mahmoud)
- 2.5
- Goals/game
- 0.8
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-0
Data suggests that Al-Nassr has shown strong form recently, winning four of their last five matches, while Al-Fateh has struggled to score, averaging just 0.9 goals in their last 10 matches. Historically, Al-Nassr has dominated the head-to-head encounters, winning four of the last five matchups against Al-Fateh. The numbers favor a solid performance from Al-Nassr in this matchup.
- Al-Nassr won 4 of their last 5 matches
- Al-Fateh averaged only 0.9 goals scored per game in their last 10 matches
- Al-Nassr has a strong recent head-to-head record against Al-Fateh
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Al-Nassr
- Sharper attackAl-Nassr
Al-Nassr are averaging 2.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.5/game - Historical edgeAl-Nassr
Al-Nassr have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
6/8 H2H wins - Strong recent formAl-Nassr
Al-Nassr are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.
5W 0D 0L - Tighter defenseAl-Nassr
Al-Nassr are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Al-Nassr at 84.58% — final result was Al-Nassr win, Al-Nassr 3-0 Al-Fateh.
Predicted score was 2-0.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Al-Nassr have averaged 2.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Al-Fateh have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Al-Fateh
Al-NassrAl-NassrAl-FatehAl-FatehAl-NassrAl-NassrAl-FatehAl-NassrAl-FatehAl-FatehAl-NassrAl-NassrAl-FatehAl-FatehAl-NassrOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
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Who is likely to win Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh?+
Our AI model favors Al-Nassr to win, with a 84.58% probability (Draw 8.94%, Al-Fateh 6.48%).
What time does Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).