Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh · Capacity 15,000 · artificial turf
Match events
- 32'Trezeguet (Leandro Antunes)
- 36'Josh Brownhill
- 41'Leandro Antunes (R. Abascal)
- 44'S. Al Essa
- 45+1'Yannick Carrasco (Y. Adli)
- 46'T. Partey (A. Al Asmari)
- 51'Victor Lekhal
- 57'Teddy Okou (Trezeguet)
- 59'K. Keita
- 70'M. Al Thani (A. Matuq)
- 79'Leandro Antunes (H. A. Bahri E.)
- 81'Yannick Carrasco
- 86'Teddy Okou (H. Majrashi)
- 89'Trezeguet (H. Al Ali)
Lineups
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 2.3
- Conceded/game
- 2.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Al Shabab may have the advantage in this matchup due to their historical performance against Al Riyadh, winning 4 out of the last 5 meetings. Additionally, Al Riyadh's struggling form, particularly in away matches, combined with Al Shabab's slight edge in scoring average, indicates a favorable scenario for the home team. The predicted score reflects a close contest but leans towards a home victory.
- Al Shabab have a better recent record in head-to-head matches against Al Riyadh, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters.
- Al Riyadh's away form is poor, having lost their only away match this season and conceding 6 goals in 2 games overall.
- Al Shabab scored an average of 1.3 goals per game while Al Riyadh has a similar average but conceded more.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Al Shabab
- Historical edgeAl Shabab
Al Shabab have won 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.
4/6 H2H wins - Poor recent formAl Shabab
Al Shabab have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Higher league positionAl Shabab
Al Shabab sit 5 places above Al Riyadh in the table.
#13 vs #18 - Tighter defenseAl Riyadh
Al Riyadh are conceding just 2.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
2.1/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Al Shabab at 57.87% — final result was a draw, Al Shabab 3-3 Al Riyadh.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (96/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Al Shabab have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Al Riyadh have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Al Shabab
Al Riyadh
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Al TaawonFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?+
Our AI model favors Al Shabab to win, with a 57.87% probability (Draw 22.44%, Al Riyadh 19.69%).
Where is Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh played?+
The match is played at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh (capacity 15,000).
What time does Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).