Aldosivi vs Tigre

Liga Profesional Argentina· Clausura - 5
Aldosivi
00Full-time
Tigre
WWLLGoals 13-1314th in league
WLLWGoals 8-83rd in league
Home0W 7D 1L(3-5)
Away1W 1D 1L(3-2)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 23'Felipe Anso
  2. 31'Leonardo Sigali
  3. 44'S. Lopez
  4. 59'S. Lopez (I. Subiabre)
  5. 69'N. Gaitán (A. Chavez)
  6. 69'M. Godoy (M. Garcia)
  7. 70'Felipe Anso (B. Dadin)
  8. 72'I. Peluffo (Jalil Elias)
  9. 76'G. Requena
  10. 77'A. Vombergar (N. Cordero)
  11. 80'J. Saralegui (T. Serrago)
  12. 80'M. Méndez (J. Villalba)
  13. 85'Lucas Castro (Federico Laurelli)

Lineups

AldosiviTigre
1.3
Goals/game
0.8
1.3
Conceded/game
0.8

AI match analysis

Aldosivi win
30%
Draw
34%
Tigre win
36%
42.3%BTTS
35%Over 2.5
35%Aldosivi clean sheet
35%Tigre clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The analysis indicates that Tigre has dominated the recent head-to-head encounters against Aldosivi, winning 5 matches in a row. Aldosivi is struggling with no wins in their last four outings and a poor start to the season, while Tigre has managed to find the net more effectively in recent games. The numbers suggest a competitive match, likely ending in a draw.

  • Tigre has won the last 5 head-to-head matches against Aldosivi.
  • Aldosivi has not won any of their last 4 matches.
  • Tigre's recent form includes 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Aldosivi is still searching for their first win in the season.
  • Tigre holds a better away record compared to Aldosivi's home performance this season.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
68/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Tigre

  • Historical edgeTigre

    Tigre have won 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

    5/7 H2H wins
  • Good recent formAldosivi

    Aldosivi have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Poor recent formTigre

    Tigre have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Sharper attackAldosivi

    Aldosivi are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Tigre at 36% — final result was a draw, Aldosivi 0-0 Tigre.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Tigre2.68market 37.3% · model 36%
Draw2.76market 36.2% · model 34%
Aldosivi2.99market 33.4% · model 30%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Aldosivi have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Tigre have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 7 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

1Aldosivi wins
1Draws
5Tigre wins
3-12Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Aldosivi2.99best 3.10
Draw2.76best 2.81
Tigre2.68best 2.84

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.53.03best 3.40
Under 2.51.36best 1.40

Both teams to score

Yes2.25best 2.30
No1.57best 1.62

Double chance

Aldosivi/Draw1.44best 1.48
Aldosivi/Tigre1.41best 1.44
Draw/Tigre1.37best 1.40

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.27best 2.30
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.48best 1.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.56best 1.57
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.52best 2.55

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Aldosivi2.99 0.09
Draw2.76 0.09
Tigre2.68 0.09
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Aldosivi win-1.2pp
AI
30%
Market
31.2%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
34%
Market
33.9%
Tigre win+1.1pp
AI
36%
Market
34.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
14
Aldosivi
16088-138DLLL
3
Tigre
6321+311DWDW

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game0.8
1.3Goals conceded per game0.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Aldosivi

0-15'
0%
16-30'
100%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Tigre

0-15'
40%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
20%

Match statistics

46%Possession54%
1.03Expected goals (xG)1.02
4Shots on target2
21Total shots12
10Shots off target5
7Blocked shots5
10Shots inside the box7
11Shots outside the box5
6Corners9
4Offsides2
12Fouls9
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
2Goalkeeper saves3
335Total passes395
229Accurate passes313
68%Pass accuracy79%

Player ratings

Box score

Aldosivi

10
10N. GaitánM · 69'
6.6
More stats
Shots0/2 on target
Passes17%
Tackles1
Duels40%
13Brian CufréD · 96'
7.0
More stats
Shots on target
Passes27%
Tackles
Duels0%
19Lucas CastroM · 84'
6.6
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes24%
Tackles4
Duels38%
21
21M. GodoyM · 69'
6.5
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes18%
Tackles
Duels27%
🟨7.2
More stats
Shots on target
Passes15%
Tackles1
Duels50%
42Lucas AcostaG · 96'
7.0
More stats
Shots on target
Passes11%
Tackles
Duels
24
24Felipe AnsoM · 69'
🟨6.5
More stats
Shots on target
Passes10%
Tackles1
Duels33%
29
29A. VombergarF · 76'
6.7
More stats
Shots2/3 on target
Passes10%
Tackles1
Duels47%
32
32J. PomboD · 96'
7.2
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes13%
Tackles1
Duels67%
14
14E. LópezD · 96'
7.7
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes25%
Tackles5
Duels88%
22
22A. SosaM · 96'
7.9
More stats
Shots0/3 on target
Passes46%
Tackles8
Duels71%
Bench (13)
18
18A. ChavezF · 27'
6.6
More stats
Shots on target
Passes2%
Tackles2
Duels80%
15
33
8
16
16B. DadinF · 27'
6.6
More stats
Shots on target
Passes6%
Tackles
Duels0%
9
9N. CorderoF · 20'
6.3
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes2%
Tackles
Duels
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes2%
Tackles
Duels
28

Tigre

24
24F. AlvarezD · 96'
7.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes25%
Tackles3
Duels44%
27S. GonzalezM · 96'
7.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes35%
Tackles3
Duels60%
29
29I. Russo (C)F · 96'
6.3
More stats
Shots1/2 on target
Passes9%
Tackles
Duels0%
10J. SaraleguiM · 80'
7.0
More stats
Shots on target
Passes23%
Tackles2
Duels100%
22S. LopezM · 59'
🟨6.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes18%
Tackles2
Duels36%
20A. BarrionuevoD · 96'
7.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes46%
Tackles1
Duels83%
8Martín GarayM · 96'
7.5
More stats
Shots on target
Passes50%
Tackles1
Duels57%
26
26L. MoralesG · 96'
7.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes21%
Tackles
Duels
23
23G. RequenaD · 78'
🟥7.5
More stats
Shots on target
Passes37%
Tackles4
Duels64%
50I. PeluffoD · 72'
7.0
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes13%
Tackles3
Duels67%
33
33M. MéndezF · 80'
6.0
More stats
Shots1/3 on target
Passes6%
Tackles
Duels38%
Bench (12)
11
11T. SerragoM · 16'
6.7
More stats
Shots on target
Passes3%
Tackles1
Duels50%
30Jalil EliasM · 24'
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes13%
Tackles
Duels100%
32J. VillalbaD · 16'
6.6
More stats
Shots on target
Passes4%
Tackles
Duels
19
21
25I. SubiabreF · 37'
6.3
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes10%
Tackles
Duels33%

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Aldosivi vs Tigre?+

Our AI model favors Tigre to win, with a 36% probability (Draw 34%, Aldosivi 30%).

What time does Aldosivi vs Tigre kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 5:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).