Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe

Liga Profesional Argentina· Clausura - 6
WWWDGoals 12-1014th in league
DLLLGoals 7-108th in league
Home0W 7D 1L(3-5)
Away2W 2D 4L(13-15)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 18'A. Vombergar (A. Sosa)
  2. 45+2'J. Pintado
  3. 51'Lucas Menossi (M. Estigarribia)
  4. 62'C. Tarragona (M. Luna Diale)
  5. 66'Lucas Castro (F. Perruzzi)
  6. 66'A. Chávez (N. Cordero)
  7. 71'E. Lopez
  8. 73'N. Gaitán (B. Dadin)
  9. 73'M. Vales (M. Garcia)
  10. 75'B. Dadin
  11. 80'M. Estigarribia (E. Ramírez)
  12. 82'N. Breitenbruch
  13. 83'A. Vombergar (N. Guzman)
  14. 85'J. Palacios
  15. 86'C. Tarragona (B. Cuello)
  16. 90+2'J. Pintado (M. Rocha)

Lineups

AldosiviUnion Santa Fe
1.2
Goals/game
0.7
1.0
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Aldosivi win
32%
Draw
32%
Union Santa Fe win
36%
38.2%BTTS
31%Over 2.5
42.7%Aldosivi clean sheet
33.3%Union Santa Fe clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a closely-fought match between Aldosivi and Union Santa Fe, as both teams have been struggling for form recently. Aldosivi remains winless at home this season, while Union Santa Fe's recent losses may impact their confidence. The historical head-to-heads indicate that matches tend to be competitive, favoring neither side decisively.

  • Aldosivi winless in last 8 home matches
  • Union Santa Fe has lost last 3 matches
  • Recent head-to-head results are closely contested
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
69/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Union Santa Fe

  • Good recent formAldosivi

    Aldosivi have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Poor recent formUnion Santa Fe

    Union Santa Fe have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 2D 3L
  • Weak home recordAldosivi

    Aldosivi have won 0 of their last 8 home matches.

    0/8 home wins
  • Weak away recordUnion Santa Fe

    Union Santa Fe have won 2 of their last 8 away matches.

    2/8 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Union Santa Fe at 36% — final result was Union Santa Fe win, Aldosivi 1-3 Union Santa Fe.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Union Santa Fe2.66market 37.6% · model 36%
Aldosivi2.90market 34.5% · model 32%
Draw2.94market 34% · model 32%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Aldosivi have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Union Santa Fe have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Aldosivi wins
2Draws
4Union Santa Fe wins
7-9Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Aldosivi2.90best 3.55
Draw2.94best 3.05
Union Santa Fe2.66best 2.90

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.57best 2.71
Under 2.51.47best 1.50

Both teams to score

Yes2.09best 2.20
No1.67best 1.70

Double chance

Aldosivi/Draw1.47best 1.62
Aldosivi/Union Santa Fe1.38best 1.40
Draw/Union Santa Fe1.38best 1.47

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.44best 2.62
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.40best 1.44
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.79best 2.95
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.50best 1.57

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Aldosivi2.90 0.29
Draw2.94 0.05
Union Santa Fe2.66 0.26
18 Aug21 Aug

Model vs market

Aldosivi win-0.5pp
AI
32%
Market
32.5%
Draw0pp
AI
32%
Market
32%
Union Santa Fe win+0.5pp
AI
36%
Market
35.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
14
Aldosivi
16088-138DLLL
8
Union Santa Fe
16565+421LLWL

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game0.7
1Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

B. Amiconi

6Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
11Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Union Santa Fe

0-15'
0%
16-30'
100%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe?+

Our AI model favors Union Santa Fe to win, with a 36% probability (Draw 32%, Aldosivi 32%).

What time does Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 5:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).