Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal
Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana · Capacity 10,000 · grass
Match events
- 21'H. Lupu (E. Perleche)
- 21'Goal Disallowed - offside — H. Lupu
- 34'Michael Hoyos
- 41'R. Suarez
- 45+2'J. Ingratti (G. A. Larios Saavedra)
- 45+4'M. Tavara
- 45'L. Sosa
Lineups
- 1.1
- Goals/game
- 2.2
- 1.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests a competitive matchup between Alianza Atletico and Sporting Cristal, though recent form and scoring averages favor the away side. Sporting Cristal has shown stronger offensive capabilities, averaging 1.8 goals per game, compared to Alianza Atletico's recent struggles in finding the net. With a solid historical advantage and their current standing, Sporting Cristal may edge this contest.
- Sporting Cristal averages 1.8 goals scored per game compared to Alianza Atletico's 1.0.
- Alianza Atletico has a perfect home record this season but struggled against top teams previously.
- Historical matchups favor Sporting Cristal slightly with 3 wins in the last 5 encounters.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Sporting Cristal
- Weak home recordAlianza Atletico
Alianza Atletico have won 3 of their last 8 home matches.
3/8 home wins - Weak away recordSporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.
0/2 away wins - Higher league positionSporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal sit 4 places above Alianza Atletico in the table.
#4 vs #8 - Sharper attackSporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal are averaging 2.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.2/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Sporting Cristal at 43% — final result was Alianza Atletico win, Alianza Atletico 3-1 Sporting Cristal.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (78/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Alianza Atletico have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Sporting Cristal have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Sporting Cristal
Alianza AtleticoAlianza AtleticoSporting CristalAlianza AtleticoSporting CristalSporting CristalAlianza AtleticoSporting CristalAlianza AtleticoAlianza AtleticoSporting CristalAlianza AtleticoSporting CristalSporting CristalAlianza AtleticoOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | +2 | 21 | LWLL |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 | WLWL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Alianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
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UCV MoqueguaAlianza AtleticoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?+
Our AI model favors Sporting Cristal to win, with a 43% probability (Draw 29%, Alianza Atletico 28%).
Where is Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal played?+
The match is played at Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana (capacity 10,000).
What time does Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 8:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).