Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima · Capacity 35,000 · grass
Match events
- 4'M. Antoni
- 45+2'F. Gaibor (J. Castillo)
- 46'Carlos Junior Huerto (A. Arroyo)
- 56'A. Munoz
- 65'F. Girotti (Paolo Guerrero)
- 65'Erick Castillo (A. Cantero)
- 66'M. Lliuya (David Dioses)
- 67'D. Camacho (M. de Jesús)
- 77'D. Caro (Francesco Cavagna)
- 77'J. Velez (Gaspar Gentile)
- 81'R. Garcés (G. Chávez)
- 81'F. Gaibor (Jean Pierre Archimbaud)
- 82'J. Cantt (J. Nunez)
- 1.9
- Goals/game
- 1.1
- 1.3
- Conceded/game
- 1.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-1
The data suggests a strong advantage for Alianza Lima, having recently maintained an unbeaten streak while displaying solid form at home. In contrast, UTC Cajamarca struggles, particularly in away matches, with no wins thus far this season. Historically, Alianza Lima has consistently bested UTC, with their last five meetings favoring them decisively. The predicted outcome leans toward a home victory, potentially with multiple goals.
- Alianza Lima unbeaten in last 5 matches (DWDWD)
- UTC Cajamarca has lost both of their away games this season
- Alianza Lima has a strong home record of 2 wins from 2 games
- Historically, Alianza Lima has not lost to UTC Cajamarca in their last 5 encounters (3-0-2)
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Alianza Lima
- Strong home recordAlianza Lima
Alianza Lima have won 7 of their last 8 home matches.
7/8 home wins - Weak away recordUTC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca have won 2 of their last 9 away matches.
2/9 away wins - Historical edgeAlianza Lima
Alianza Lima have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
6/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionAlianza Lima
Alianza Lima sit 12 places above UTC Cajamarca in the table.
#1 vs #13
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Alianza Lima at 77% — final result was Alianza Lima win, Alianza Lima 1-0 UTC Cajamarca.
Predicted score was 3-1.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Alianza Lima have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- UTC Cajamarca have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Alianza Lima
UTC CajamarcaUTC CajamarcaAlianza LimaUTC CajamarcaAlianza LimaAlianza LimaUTC CajamarcaAlianza LimaUTC CajamarcaUTC CajamarcaAlianza LimaUTC CajamarcaAlianza LimaAlianza LimaUTC CajamarcaOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | +22 | 40 | WWDW |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -5 | 18 | DLLL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
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UniversitarioAlianza Lima
Deportivo GarcilasoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca?+
Our AI model favors Alianza Lima to win, with a 77% probability (Draw 16%, UTC Cajamarca 7%).
Where is Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca played?+
The match is played at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima (capacity 35,000).
What time does Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).