Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Pereira
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar · Referee: Jose Bautista
Match events
- 56'J. Lasso
- 58'D. Quinones (Felipe Pardo)
- 61'Walmer Pacheco
- 61'Jair Castillo (Y. Londoño)
- 62'Y. Londoño
- 62'Goal Disallowed - handball — Y. Londoño
- 65'Goal cancelled — Y. Londoño
- 67'L. Moreno (Nicolas Rengifo)
- 67'J. Largacha (Marco Pérez)
- 70'W. Fernández
- 72'J. Largacha (Marco Pérez)
- 76'S. Acosta (Javier Andres Mena)
- 79'Miguel Aguirre (Felipe Mosquera)
- 79'J. Monroy (Fabio Delgado)
- 82'I. Alba
- 85'Jesús Muñoz (M. Martínez)
- 86'I. Alba (Yilson Rosales)
- 90+1'P. Franco
Lineups
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 1.1
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 2.7
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Alianza Valledupar may have an edge in this matchup, leveraging their stronger home record and better recent form. Meanwhile, Deportivo Pereira's defensive struggles, as evidenced by their high goals conceded rate, could be pivotal in this fixture.
- Alianza Valledupar has a slightly better recent form with 2 wins in their last 5 matches compared to Deportivo Pereira's 1 win.
- Deportivo Pereira has conceded an average of 2.7 goals per game in their last 10 matches, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
- In head-to-head matches, Alianza Valledupar has won 2 out of the last 5 encounters against Deportivo Pereira.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Alianza Valledupar
- Tighter defenseAlianza Valledupar
Alianza Valledupar are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded - Poor recent formAlianza Valledupar
Alianza Valledupar have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Poor recent formDeportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pereira have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.
0W 0D 5L - Weak home recordAlianza Valledupar
Alianza Valledupar have won 2 of their last 9 home matches.
2/9 home wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Alianza Valledupar at 59% — final result was a draw, Alianza Valledupar 0-0 Deportivo Pereira.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (95/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Alianza Valledupar have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Deportivo Pereira have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo PereiraDeportivo PereiraAlianza ValleduparDeportivo PereiraAlianza ValleduparAlianza ValleduparDeportivo PereiraAlianza ValleduparDeportivo PereiraDeportivo PereiraAlianza ValleduparDeportivo PereiraAlianza ValleduparAlianza ValleduparDeportivo PereiraOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 | DLLD |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 | DLLW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Alianza Valledupar
Match statistics
Player ratings
- 1I. AlbaAlianza Valledupar🟨8.2
- 2Y. GómezDeportivo Pereira7.9
- 3Walmer PachecoDeportivo Pereira🟨7.7
- 4P. FrancoAlianza Valledupar🟨7.7
- 5D. OrtizDeportivo Pereira7.6
- 6Jesús MuñozAlianza Valledupar7.5
Box score
Alianza Valledupar
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Bench (10)
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Deportivo Pereira
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Bench (9)
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ChicoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Pereira?+
Our AI model favors Alianza Valledupar to win, with a 59% probability (Draw 25%, Deportivo Pereira 16%).
Where is Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Pereira played?+
The match is played at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar.
What time does Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Pereira kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).