Alianza vs Cacahuatique

Primera Division· Apertura - 5
Alianza
00Full-time
Cacahuatique
LWLDGoals 10-1510th in league
DLDLGoals 9-148th in league
Home0W 1D 0L(0-0)
Away0W 1D 0L(0-0)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time
Lineups unavailable for this match.
AlianzaCacahuatique
1.0
Goals/game
0.9
1.5
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Alianza win
53.6%
Draw
26.34%
Cacahuatique win
20.06%
48.8%BTTS
43%Over 2.5
30.1%Alianza clean sheet
30.1%Cacahuatique clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

The data suggests that Alianza holds a historical advantage over Cacahuatique, having won 4 out of their last 5 encounters. Meanwhile, Cacahuatique's recent form features three draws, which may reflect their difficulty in clinching victories. Given both teams' struggles early in the season, a low-scoring outcome appears likely.

  • Alianza has won 4 of the last 5 encounters against Cacahuatique.
  • Cacahuatique has drawn 3 of their last 5 matches, showing a tendency to struggle in securing wins.
  • Both teams have yet to win any matches this season, indicating potential for a low-scoring game.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
89/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Alianza

  • Historical edgeAlianza

    Alianza have won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    7/8 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formAlianza

    Alianza have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Tighter defenseCacahuatique

    Cacahuatique are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game conceded
  • Sharper attackAlianza

    Alianza are averaging 1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Alianza at 53.6% — final result was a draw, Alianza 0-0 Cacahuatique.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (89/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Alianza1.65market 60.7% · model 53.6%
Draw3.47market 28.8% · model 26.34%
Cacahuatique4.69market 21.3% · model 20.06%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Alianza have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Cacahuatique have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

7Alianza wins
1Draws
0Cacahuatique wins
18-6Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Alianza1.65best 1.72
Draw3.47best 3.60
Cacahuatique4.69best 5.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.89best 2.00
Under 2.51.80best 1.92

Both teams to score

Yes1.82best 2.00
No1.81best 1.91

Double chance

Alianza/Draw1.13best 1.18
Alianza/Cacahuatique1.22best 1.30
Draw/Cacahuatique2.07best 2.18

Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Alianza1.65 0.01
Draw3.47 0.01
Cacahuatique4.69 0.01
15 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

Alianza win-1.2pp
AI
53.6%
Market
54.8%
Draw+0.3pp
AI
26.34%
Market
26%
Cacahuatique win+0.9pp
AI
20.06%
Market
19.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
10
Alianza
4112-24LDLW
8
Cacahuatique
6132-26DDDW

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game0.9
1.5Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Alianza

0-15'
0%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
25%

Cacahuatique

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Primera Division predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Alianza vs Cacahuatique?+

Our AI model favors Alianza to win, with a 53.6% probability (Draw 26.34%, Cacahuatique 20.06%).

What time does Alianza vs Cacahuatique kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 1:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).