Amed vs Erzurumspor FK — Süper Lig

Süper Lig· Regular Season - 1

Amed

3–0Full-time

Erzurumspor FK

LGoals 0-29th in league

DLLLWLGoals 15-2118th in league

Home1W 0D 0L(3-0)

Away0W 0D 1L(0-3)

Match events

2'Goal Disallowed - offside — Fernando
3'Fernando
53'D. Saba (L. Dellova)
61'D. Saba (Gift Orban)
64'Mbaye Diagne (Samuel Ballet)
64'S. Akgun (Gyrano Kerk)
64'Fernando (Festy Ebosele)
64'Cem Üstündag (G. Gul)
68'Goal Disallowed - Foul
71'G. Gul (Samuel Ballet)
76'M. Fettahoglu (N. Axundzadə)
76'Martín Rodríguez (M. Akpınar)
77'Yira Collins Sor (Umut Meraş)
77'D. Saba (R. Lutin)
82'O. Ovacıklı (İlkan Sever)
88'Gift Orban (Miraç Acer)
90+1'Rayan Raveloson

Lineups

Amed

Erzurumspor FK

3-4-34-1-4-1

Besnik HasiCoach

Serkan Ozbalta

Bench (9)

Bench (10)

AI match analysis

Amed win

41%

Draw

28%

Erzurumspor FK win

31%

53.7%BTTS

53.1%Over 2.5

17.4%Amed clean sheet

35%Erzurumspor FK clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a close contest between two teams that have yet to play this season, with Amed's form remaining a mystery. Erzurumspor FK's recent results indicate a slight edge, having secured three wins in their last five matches. Historically, without home advantage or significant match data for Amed, the match could lean towards a draw or a narrow scoreline.

Amed has not played any matches this season, making their current form unknown.
Erzurumspor FK averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.9 goals conceded over their last 10 matches.
Erzurumspor FK won 3 out of their last 5 matches, indicating better recent performance.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

61/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Amed

Higher league positionAmed
Amed sit 9 places above Erzurumspor FK in the table.
#9 vs #18

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

Limited recent-match sample
Amed has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Amed at 41% — final result was Amed win, Amed 3-0 Erzurumspor FK.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (61/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Amed ✓2.27market 44% · model 41%

Erzurumspor FK3.05market 32.8% · model 31%

Draw3.32market 30.1% · model 28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Amed have averaged 0 goals scored per game over their last 1 matches.
Erzurumspor FK have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Amed2.27best 2.33

Draw3.32▼best 3.45

Erzurumspor FK3.05▲best 3.25

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.85▲best 1.90

Under 2.51.94▼best 2.00

Both teams to score

Yes1.63best 1.67

No2.14▼best 2.25

Double chance

Amed/Draw1.36▼best 1.40

Amed/Erzurumspor FK1.30▲best 1.35

Draw/Erzurumspor FK1.61▼best 1.65

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.22▲best 1.22

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.90▼best 4.00

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.31▲best 1.33

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.23▼best 3.25

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Amed2.27▲ 0.01

Draw3.32▼ 0.10

Erzurumspor FK3.05▲ 0.17

13 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

Amed win-0.1pp

AI

41%

Market

41.1%

Draw-0.2pp

AI

28%

Market

28.2%

Erzurumspor FK win+0.3pp

AI

31%

Market

30.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.