Angers vs Lille

Ligue 1· Regular Season - 1
Angers
02Full-time
Lille
DDWWGoals 11-1916th in league
WLDDGoals 15-73rd in league
Home0W 0D 1L(0-2)
Away1W 0D 0L(2-0)
Stade Raymond-Kopa

Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers · Capacity 19,000 · grass · Referee: J. Stinat

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 11'O. Giroud (Nabil Bentaleb)
  2. 22'A. Bermont
  3. 31'Tiago Santos
  4. 57'B. Onal (Félix Correia)
  5. 58'A. Bermont (P. Peter)
  6. 63'E. Mbappe (Osame Sahraoui)
  7. 64'O. Giroud (Gaëtan Perrin)
  8. 72'Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
  9. 73'Jim Allevinah (H. Djibirin)
  10. 73'A. El Ouazzani (U. Simbakoli)
  11. 74'Romain Perraud
  12. 76'Hakon Arnar Haraldsson (I. Cossier)
  13. 76'Romain Perraud (Calvin Verdonk)
  14. 79'Goal Disallowed - offside — Tiago Santos
  15. 85'L. Raolisoa (Carlens Arcus)
  16. 85'Y. Belkhdim (B. Diatta)
  17. 90'U. Simbakoli

Lineups

AngersLille
1.1
Goals/game
1.5
1.9
Conceded/game
0.7

AI match analysis

Angers win
19%
Draw
26%
Lille win
55%
48.5%BTTS
48.2%Over 2.5
18.3%Angers clean sheet
40.7%Lille clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests Lille has a historical edge over Angers, remaining unbeaten in their last five encounters. Angers has struggled defensively, averaging nearly two goals conceded per game over their last ten matches, which aligns with Lille's stronger offensive output. Given these factors, the statistical analysis leans towards an away victory for Lille.

  • Lille unbeaten in last 5 head-to-head matches against Angers
  • Angers conceded an average of 1.9 goals in their last 10 matches
  • Lille has a stronger scoring average of 1.5 goals in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
91/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Lille

  • Tighter defenseLille

    Lille are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.7/game conceded
  • Historical edgeLille

    Lille have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    4/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionLille

    Lille sit 13 places above Angers in the table.

    #3 vs #16
  • Sharper attackLille

    Lille are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Lille at 55% — final result was Lille win, Angers 0-2 Lille.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (91/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Lille1.75market 57% · model 55%
Draw3.67market 27.2% · model 26%
Angers4.76market 21% · model 19%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Angers have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Lille have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Angers wins
2Draws
4Lille wins
6-8Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Angers4.76best 5.10
Draw3.67best 3.90
Lille1.75best 1.80

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.00best 2.08
Under 2.51.81best 1.87

Both teams to score

Yes1.89best 1.92
No1.85best 1.91

Double chance

Angers/Draw2.08best 2.18
Angers/Lille1.26best 1.30
Draw/Lille1.19best 1.21

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.57best 1.57
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.25best 2.25
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.75best 5.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.17best 1.17

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Angers4.76 0.09
Draw3.67 0.02
Lille1.75 0.06
20 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Angers win-1pp
AI
19%
Market
20%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
26%
Market
25.9%
Lille win+0.9pp
AI
55%
Market
54.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
16
Angers
1001-20L
3
Lille
1100+23W

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game1.5
1.9Goals conceded per game0.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

J. Stinat

4.15Yellow cards / game
0.23Red cards / game
0.31Penalties scored / game

Based on 13 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Angers

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
0%

More Ligue 1 predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Angers vs Lille?+

Our AI model favors Lille to win, with a 55% probability (Draw 26%, Angers 19%).

Where is Angers vs Lille played?+

The match is played at Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers (capacity 19,000).

What time does Angers vs Lille kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 1:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).