Apollon Limassol vs Brann

UEFA Europa Conference League· 3rd Qualifying Round
Apollon Limassol
24After Extra Time
Brann
LWLWGoals 9-13
WDWWGoals 17-14
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 16'K. Ingason (Eggert Aron Guðmundsson)
  2. 29'Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
  3. 32'N. Castro
  4. 43'A. Ožbolt
  5. 58'K. Ingason
  6. 73'L. Konomis
  7. 74'Eggert Aron Guðmundsson (N. Holm)
  8. 74'Brandon (I. Ugbo)
  9. 74'A. Ožbolt (Gustavo Assunção)
  10. 81'J. Soltvedt (V. Dragsnes)
  11. 86'Ivan Ljubić (Gaetan Weissbeck)
  12. 88'N. Wassberg (Bård Finne)
  13. 88'N. Castro (S. Magnússon)
  14. 90+1'Dani Escriche (Konstantinos Balogiannis)
  15. 90+6'N. Holm (V. Dragsnes)
  16. 90'Bruno Gaspar (A. Shikkis)
  17. 90'J. Kvída (Emanuel Aiwu)
  18. 92'Gaetan Weissbeck
  19. 94'N. Holm (K. Eriksen)
  20. 100'A. Shikkis
  21. 105'K. Eriksen (V. Dragsnes)
  22. 106'Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen (Cheick Mbacke Diop)
  23. 106'Gaetan Weissbeck (C. Duodu)
  24. 118'K. Ingason
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Apollon LimassolBrann
0.9
Goals/game
1.7
1.3
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Apollon Limassol win
41%
Draw
27%
Brann win
32%
53.1%BTTS
49.4%Over 2.5
22.3%Apollon Limassol clean sheet
31.7%Brann clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

Data suggests Sheffield has a slight edge playing at home, though their scoring averages and recent form show challenges. Brann's consistent inability to find the net in their last five matches adds to the likelihood of a low-scoring affair, possibly favoring another narrow victory for Sheffield.

  • Sheffield's recent form includes two home wins and three losses overall.
  • Brann has struggled with three consecutive losses and only one draw in their last five matches.
  • Sheffield has scored an average of 0.9 goals per game, while Brann has averaged only 0.8 goals in the last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
54/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Apollon Limassol

  • Poor recent formApollon Limassol

    Apollon Limassol have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Good recent formBrann

    Brann have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Sharper attackApollon Limassol

    Apollon Limassol are averaging 0.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    0.9/game
  • Tighter defenseApollon Limassol

    Apollon Limassol are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Apollon Limassol at 41% — final result was Brann win, Apollon Limassol 2-4 Brann.

Predicted score was 1-0.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (54/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Apollon Limassol2.21market 45.2% · model 41%
Brann2.93market 34.1% · model 32%
Draw3.42market 29.2% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Apollon Limassol have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Brann have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Apollon Limassol2.21best 2.30
Draw3.42best 3.60
Brann2.93best 3.08

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.67best 1.73
Under 2.52.13best 2.20

Both teams to score

Yes1.54best 1.58
No2.32best 2.40

Double chance

Apollon Limassol/Draw1.36best 1.42
Apollon Limassol/Brann1.27best 1.30
Draw/Brann1.59best 1.67

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.20best 1.20
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.50best 3.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.28best 1.28
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.33best 4.33

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Apollon Limassol2.21 0.01
Draw3.42 0.17
Brann2.93 0.07
9 Aug11 Aug

Model vs market

Apollon Limassol win-0.6pp
AI
41%
Market
41.6%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
27%
Market
26.9%
Brann win+0.5pp
AI
32%
Market
31.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

0.9Goals scored per game1.7
1.3Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

R. Harvey

1.5Yellow cards / game
0.5Red cards / game
0.5Penalties scored / game

Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Brann

0-15'
0%
16-30'
11.1%
31-45'
22.2%
46-60'
22.2%
61-75'
22.2%
76-90+'
22.2%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Apollon Limassol vs Brann?+

Our AI model favors Apollon Limassol to win, with a 41% probability (Draw 27%, Brann 32%).

What time does Apollon Limassol vs Brann kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 11, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).