Ararat-Armenia vs Sardarapat
Match events
- 7'Z. Shaghoyan
- 21'G. Petrosyan (yuri budagyan)
- 21'L. Petrosyan (Y. Budagyan)
- 46'Maxence Carlier (Jose Junior Bueno)
- 57'P. Ayongo (H. Oliveira)
- 65'Franca Carlos (A. Serobyan)
- 65'A. Tera (A. Ambartsumyan)
- 67'G. Abrahamyan (S. Alabi)
- 67'H. Minasyan (S. Galstyan)
- 75'Bruno Pereira
- 77'Michel Ayvazyan (Benny)
- 81'S. Alabi
- 81'L. Petrosyan (A. Danielyan)
- 87'S. Kochkanyan (J. Davtyan)
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 0.9
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Ararat-Armenia has the upper hand in this matchup, particularly with their perfect home record this season. While Sardarapat has also demonstrated strength away, their recent form and overall ranking put them at a disadvantage. The numbers favor Ararat-Armenia with their stronger recent performances and goal-scoring averages.
- Ararat-Armenia has won all 2 home games this season.
- Sardarapat has a strong away record, winning all 2 games.
- Historically, Ararat-Armenia has averaged 1.8 goals scored per game.
- Ararat-Armenia currently ranks 2nd in the league, showing competitive form.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Ararat-Armenia
- Higher league positionArarat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia sit 4 places above Sardarapat in the table.
#2 vs #6
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Limited recent-match sample
Sardarapat has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Ararat-Armenia at 61.56% — final result was a draw, Ararat-Armenia 1-1 Sardarapat.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (87/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Ararat-Armenia have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Sardarapat have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 1 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 | DWWW |
| 6 |  Sardarapat | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 1 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Ararat-Armenia
Sardarapat
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AraratFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Ararat-Armenia vs Sardarapat?+
Our AI model favors Ararat-Armenia to win, with a 61.56% probability (Draw 20.94%, Sardarapat 17.5%).
What time does Ararat-Armenia vs Sardarapat kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).