Arezzo vs Palermo

Serie B· Regular Season - 2
LWLWGoals 10-135th in league
WLWWGoals 12-118th in league
Kicks off in

Kickoff: Aug 30, 2026, 7:00 PM (stadium time)

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time
Lineups not confirmed yet — check back closer to kickoff.
ArezzoPalermo
1.3
Goals/game
1.2
1.6
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed

Arezzo win
25.96%
Draw
30.54%
Palermo win
43.5%
52.3%BTTS
47.8%Over 2.5
24.4%Arezzo clean sheet
30.9%Palermo clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests a competitive match given both teams' recent form, with Palermo having the edge in their last five matches. Historically, the away team's stronger scoring and defensive performance could favor them, as evidenced by Arezzo's weaker goal difference.

  • Palermo unbeaten in last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 losses)
  • Arezzo has a negative goal difference over last 8 matches (1.25 scored, 1.63 conceded)
  • Both teams have won their opening fixtures of the season
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
71/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.

Why AI favors Palermo

  • Tighter defensePalermo

    Palermo are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.1/game conceded
  • Higher league positionArezzo

    Arezzo sit 3 places above Palermo in the table.

    #5 vs #8
  • Sharper attackArezzo

    Arezzo are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Lineups not confirmed

    Starting lineups aren't confirmed yet and could materially affect this prediction once they land.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

Match trends

  • Arezzo have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 8 matches.
  • Palermo have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Arezzo3.39best 3.74
Draw3.12best 3.30
Palermo2.18best 2.27

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.28best 2.39
Under 2.51.61best 1.65

Both teams to score

Yes1.94best 2.00
No1.78best 1.82

Double chance

Arezzo/Draw1.64best 1.68
Arezzo/Palermo1.32best 1.36
Draw/Palermo1.30best 1.33

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.40best 3.40
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.62best 2.62
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.44best 1.44

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Arezzo3.39 0.24
Draw3.12 0.03
Palermo2.18 0.10
27 Aug28 Aug

Model vs market

Arezzo win-1.5pp
AI
25.96%
Market
27.5%
Draw+0.7pp
AI
30.54%
Market
29.8%
Palermo win+0.8pp
AI
43.5%
Market
42.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
5
Arezzo
1100+13W
8
Palermo
1100+13W

Pre-match comparison

1.25Goals scored per game1.2
1.63Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 8 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Arezzo

0-15'
0%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

Palermo

0-15'
66.7%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Serie B predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Arezzo vs Palermo?+

Our AI model favors Palermo to win, with a 43.5% probability (Draw 30.54%, Arezzo 25.96%).

What time does Arezzo vs Palermo kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 30, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).