Arsenal Tivat vs Buducnost Podgorica
Stadion u Parku, Tivat · Capacity 4,000 · grass
- 1.1
- Goals/game
- 0.4
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The statistics suggest that Buducnost Podgorica holds an advantage going into this match, particularly considering their recent head-to-head results, with three wins out of the last five encounters against Arsenal Tivat. Additionally, while Arsenal has struggled recently without a victory, Buducnost secured an away win in their only match of the season, further supporting their favorable outlook. The predicted score reflects these trends, favoring an away victory.
- Buducnost Podgorica has a strong record in the last five head-to-head matches, with three wins.
- Arsenal Tivat has not won in their last five matches, with only two draws.
- Buducnost won their only away match this season, indicating better early form.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Buducnost Podgorica
- Sharper attackArsenal Tivat
Arsenal Tivat are averaging 1.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game - Historical edgeBuducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins - Tighter defenseBuducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded - Higher league positionArsenal Tivat
Arsenal Tivat sit 3 places above Buducnost Podgorica in the table.
#6 vs #9
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 39% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Buducnost Podgorica at 38.8% — final result was a draw, Arsenal Tivat 0-0 Buducnost Podgorica.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Arsenal Tivat have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Buducnost Podgorica have averaged 0.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Buducnost Podgorica
Arsenal TivatArsenal TivatBuducnost PodgoricaBuducnost PodgoricaArsenal TivatArsenal TivatBuducnost PodgoricaBuducnost PodgoricaArsenal TivatArsenal TivatBuducnost PodgoricaBuducnost PodgoricaArsenal TivatArsenal TivatBuducnost PodgoricaOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 10 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Arsenal Tivat | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | DDDD |
| 9 | Buducnost Podgorica | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 | LDLW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Buducnost Podgorica
More First League predictions
Sutjeska
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Petrovac
MornarBuducnost Podgorica
BokeljArsenal Tivat
Otrant-OlympicFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Arsenal Tivat vs Buducnost Podgorica?+
Our AI model favors Buducnost Podgorica to win, with a 38.8% probability (Draw 33.79%, Arsenal Tivat 27.41%).
Where is Arsenal Tivat vs Buducnost Podgorica played?+
The match is played at Stadion u Parku, Tivat (capacity 4,000).
What time does Arsenal Tivat vs Buducnost Podgorica kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).