ASA Aarhus vs Randers FC
Value found
+0.4% edgeASA Aarhus win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 55'Wessel Dammers
- 64'Musa Toure
- 71'Martin André Sjølstad
- 86'H. Soares
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 0.9
- 2.0
- Conceded/game
- 2.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests a challenging match for ASA Aarhus, particularly given their tendency to concede goals, averaging 1.89 per game recently. In contrast, Randers FC, despite a rough patch, has shown some defensive stability around a couple of their wins, which could play a critical role in this encounter. The numbers favor Randers FC significantly, leaning heavily towards an away victory.
- Randers FC's recent form includes 4 losses in their last 5 matches.
- ASA Aarhus has allowed an average of 1.89 goals per game in their last 9 matches.
- Randers FC has averaged 1.6 xG per game over their last 10 matches.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Randers FC
- Sharper attackASA Aarhus
ASA Aarhus are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game - Poor recent formASA Aarhus
ASA Aarhus have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Poor recent formRanders FC
Randers FC have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Tighter defenseASA Aarhus
ASA Aarhus are conceding just 2 goals per game over their recent matches.
2/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Randers FC at 76.09% — final result was Randers FC win, ASA Aarhus 0-4 Randers FC.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- ASA Aarhus have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Randers FC have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Randers FC
More DBU Pokalen predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win ASA Aarhus vs Randers FC?+
Our AI model favors Randers FC to win, with a 76.09% probability (Draw 15.47%, ASA Aarhus 8.44%).
What time does ASA Aarhus vs Randers FC kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 19, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).