Athletic Club vs Sevilla
Match events
- 11'Yuri
- 15'Oso
- 22'Peque Fernández
- 25'Gorka Guruzeta
- 26'M. Sierra
- 39'Jon Guridi
- 46'Peque Fernández (N. Guilen)
- 46'M. Sierra (Chidera Ejuke)
- 46'Jon Guridi (Isaac Romero)
- 51'Chidera Ejuke (Isaac Romero)
- 57'Isaac Romero (Oso)
- 58'I. Williams (N. Williams)
- 58'Jesús Areso (Aymeric Laporte)
- 59'Gorka Guruzeta (Maroan Sannadi)
- 68'Arouna Sangante (José Ángel Carmona)
- 70'Aitor Paredes (Yeray Álvarez)
- 74'Aitor Paredes (Hugo Rincón)
- 79'Oso (J. Diaz)
- 83'B. Gerenabarrena (Iñigo Ruiz De Galarreta)
- 87'Iñigo Ruiz De Galarreta
- 90+1'Isaac Romero
Lineups
- 1.1
- Goals/game
- 1.2
- 2.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The data suggests that Athletic Club has struggled in their recent outings, with 4 losses in their last 5 matches, which could impact their confidence at home. In contrast, Sevilla's recent form shows a win, bolstering their position and morale. Historically, Athletic Club has had a mixed record against Sevilla, but their home advantage may play a crucial role in this matchup.
- Sevilla has won 2 of the last 5 meetings against Athletic Club
- Athletic Club's last 5 matches include 4 losses
- Sevilla is currently ranked 4th in the league standings
- Athletic Club has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match in their last 10 games.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Athletic Club
- Higher league positionSevilla
Sevilla sit 16 places above Athletic Club in the table.
#3 vs #19 - Poor recent formAthletic Club
Athletic Club have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.
0W 0D 5L - Poor recent formSevilla
Sevilla have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Tighter defenseSevilla
Sevilla are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Athletic Club at 55.73% — final result was Sevilla win, Athletic Club 1-3 Sevilla.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (91/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Athletic Club have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Sevilla have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Sevilla
Athletic ClubAthletic ClubSevillaSevillaAthletic ClubAthletic ClubSevillaAthletic ClubSevillaSevillaAthletic ClubAthletic ClubSevillaSevillaAthletic ClubOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Athletic Club | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 3 | Sevilla | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Sevilla
More La Liga predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Athletic Club vs Sevilla?+
Our AI model favors Athletic Club to win, with a 55.73% probability (Draw 26.21%, Sevilla 18.06%).
What time does Athletic Club vs Sevilla kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 3:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).