Athletics vs Baltimore Orioles

MLB
LWWLRuns 43-514th in AL West Division · 53-82
WWLWRuns 44-404th in AL East Division · 66-69
Home11W 9L(100-100)
Away10W 10L(100-101)
Kicks off in
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

AI match analysis

Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed

Athletics win
42%
Baltimore Orioles win
58%

Predicted score: 5-7

Data suggests that while the Athletics have displayed decent form at home, winning 55% of their games, the Orioles have been slightly more consistent overall. Baltimore has averaged 4.4 runs in their last 10 games and performs comparably against the Athletics in their recent encounters. Based on these factors, the projected score favors the Orioles.

  • Athletics have a 55% home win rate this season.
  • Baltimore Orioles have averaged 4.4 runs scored in their last 10 games.
  • Head-to-head over the last five matchups shows the Orioles trailing slightly at 3-4.
  • The Athletics have allowed an average of 5.1 runs per game recently. You.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
79/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.

Why AI favors Baltimore Orioles

  • Tighter defenseBaltimore Orioles

    Baltimore Orioles are conceding just 4 runs per game over their recent matches.

    4/game conceded
  • Historical edgeAthletics

    Athletics have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins
  • Good recent formAthletics

    Athletics have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Good recent formBaltimore Orioles

    Baltimore Orioles have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

Match trends

  • Athletics have averaged 4.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Baltimore Orioles have averaged 4.4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Athletics are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Baltimore Orioles.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Athletics2.26best 2.31AI 42%
Baltimore Orioles1.64best 1.70AI 58%

Point spread

LineAthleticsBaltimore Orioles
-1.53.141.33
-12.811.40
+12.011.77
+1.51.831.98
+21.682.13
+2.51.542.38
+31.462.56
+3.51.363.03

Total points

LineOverUnder
91.472.57
9.51.652.17
101.791.98
10.51.911.91
112.041.72
11.52.271.60
122.481.49
12.52.691.43

Average price across 9 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Athletics2.26
Baltimore Orioles1.64
30 Aug30 Aug

Model vs market

Athletics win-0.1pp
AI
42%
Market
42.1%
Baltimore Orioles win+0.1pp
AI
58%
Market
57.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Athletics wins
2Baltimore Orioles wins
24-13Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Chicago White Sox
1347163+4753
2
Cleveland Guardians
1356867-750
3
Minnesota Twins
1356471-5947
4
Detroit Tigers
1346272+6946
5
Kansas City Royals
1366175-7845
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1348054+5260
2
New York Yankees
1347658+10157
3
Boston Red Sox
1347361+10055
4
Baltimore Orioles
1356669-2349
5
Toronto Blue Jays
1366670-5849
1
Houston Astros
1356867-4250
2
Texas Rangers
1356669-5249
3
Seattle Mariners
1356471-6447
4
Athletics
1355382-18639
5
Los Angeles Angels
1355283-7739
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1348054+5260
2
New York Yankees
1347658+10157
3
Boston Red Sox
1347361+10055
4
Chicago White Sox
1347163+4753
5
Cleveland Guardians
1356867-750
6
Houston Astros
1356867-4250
7
Baltimore Orioles
1356669-2349
8
Texas Rangers
1356669-5249
9
Toronto Blue Jays
1366670-5849
10
Seattle Mariners
1356471-6447
11
Minnesota Twins
1356471-5947
12
Detroit Tigers
1346272+6946
13
Kansas City Royals
1366175-7845
14
Athletics
1355382-18639
15
Los Angeles Angels
1355283-7739
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1358451+17862
2
Chicago Cubs
1357659+11756
3
St.Louis Cardinals
1366868-1050
4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1366571+2148
5
Cincinnati Reds
1356471-9847
1
Atlanta Braves
1358055+11559
2
Philadelphia Phillies
1357560+2556
3
Miami Marlins
1356867+1250
4
Washington Nationals
1376473+1947
5
New York Mets
1356075-5444
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
1358154+14960
2
San Diego Padres
1357263+1253
3
Arizona Diamondbacks
1367264+453
4
San Francisco Giants
1355580-7341
5
Colorado Rockies
1355283-14039
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1358451+17862
2
Los Angeles Dodgers
1358154+14960
3
Atlanta Braves
1358055+11559
4
Chicago Cubs
1357659+11756
5
Philadelphia Phillies
1357560+2556
6
San Diego Padres
1357263+1253
7
Arizona Diamondbacks
1367264+453
8
Miami Marlins
1356867+1250
9
St.Louis Cardinals
1366868-1050
10
Pittsburgh Pirates
1366571+2148
11
Cincinnati Reds
1356471-9847
12
Washington Nationals
1376473+1947
13
New York Mets
1356075-5444
14
San Francisco Giants
1355580-7341
15
Colorado Rockies
1355283-14039

More MLB predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Athletics vs Baltimore Orioles?+

Our AI model favors Baltimore Orioles to win, with a 58% probability (Athletics 42%).

What time does Athletics vs Baltimore Orioles start?+

First pitch is at Aug 30, 2026, 8:05 PM (your local time, based on your device).