Atletico Balboa vs Fuerte San Francisco — Primera Division

Primera Division· Apertura - 6

Atletico Balboa

1–0Full-time

Fuerte San Francisco

DWGoals 5-36th in league

LDWLDWGoals 6-109th in league

Home1W 2D 0L(1-0)

Away0W 1D 2L(0-5)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Atletico BalboaFuerte San Francisco

2.5
Goals/game: 0.6; 1.5
Conceded/game: 1.0

AI match analysis

Atletico Balboa win

42%

Draw

31%

Fuerte San Francisco win

27%

53.7%BTTS

53.1%Over 2.5

35%Atletico Balboa clean sheet

17.4%Fuerte San Francisco clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests a closely contested match, with Atletico Balboa holding a slight edge due to their recent scoring form of 2.5 goals per game. Fuerte San Francisco's struggles away from home and negative goal difference may hinder their chances. The numbers favor a narrow victory for the home side, with a predicted score of 2-1.

Atletico Balboa has scored 2.5 goals per game in their last two matches.
Fuerte San Francisco has a -3 goal difference this season, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.
Both teams recently drew against higher-ranked opponents, indicating competitive form.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

69/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Atletico Balboa

Sharper attackAtletico Balboa
Atletico Balboa are averaging 2.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.5/game
Strong recent formAtletico Balboa
Atletico Balboa are unbeaten in their last 2 matches, including 1 win.
1W 1D 0L
Tighter defenseFuerte San Francisco
Fuerte San Francisco are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1/game conceded
Higher league positionAtletico Balboa
Atletico Balboa sit 3 places above Fuerte San Francisco in the table.
#6 vs #9

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

Limited recent-match sample
Atletico Balboa has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Atletico Balboa at 42% — final result was Atletico Balboa win, Atletico Balboa 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco.

Predicted score was 2-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Atletico Balboa ✓2.09market 47.8% · model 42%

Draw3.03market 33% · model 31%

Fuerte San Francisco3.34market 29.9% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Atletico Balboa have averaged 2.5 goals scored per game over their last 2 matches.
Fuerte San Francisco have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Atletico Balboa2.09▲best 2.16

Draw3.03▲best 3.20

Fuerte San Francisco3.34▲best 3.46

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.17best 2.35

Under 2.51.58best 1.70

Both teams to score

Yes1.88▲best 2.00

No1.75▼best 1.86

Double chance

Atletico Balboa/Draw1.26▼best 1.30

Atletico Balboa/Fuerte San Francisco1.28▲best 1.35

Draw/Fuerte San Francisco1.63best 1.70

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Atletico Balboa2.09▲ 0.06

Draw3.03▼ 0.12

Fuerte San Francisco3.34▲ 0.03

21 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

Atletico Balboa win-1.2pp

42%

Market

43.2%

Draw+1.2pp

31%

Market

29.8%

Fuerte San Francisco win0pp

27%

Market

27%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.