Atlético Ottawa vs York United

Canadian Premier League· Group Stage
DWWLGoals 20-133rd in league
LDWDGoals 13-187th in league
Home6W 2D 1L(19-12)
Away1W 4D 3L(6-16)
Kicks off in

Kickoff: Aug 28, 2026, 7:00 PM (stadium time)

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time
Lineups not confirmed yet — check back closer to kickoff.
Atlético OttawaYork United
2.0
Goals/game
1.3
1.3
Conceded/game
1.8

AI match analysis

Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed

Atlético Ottawa win
51%
Draw
21%
York United win
28%
61.9%BTTS
62%Over 2.5
27.3%Atlético Ottawa clean sheet
15%York United clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests Atlético Ottawa could have the upper hand in this match given their solid home record and superior recent form. York United's challenges away from home and poor overall standings further indicate they may struggle against a determined Ottawa side. The last several encounters have been competitive, but Ottawa's home advantage and current performance trends suggest they are likely to edge this matchup.

  • Atlético Ottawa has a strong home record this season with 6 wins in 9 matches.
  • York United has struggled away from home, managing only 1 win in 8 matches.
  • Recent form favors Atlético Ottawa with 3 wins in their last 5 matches compared to York's 1 win.
  • Historically, Atlético Ottawa has been competitive, having drawn 2 of their last 5 meetings with York United.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
86/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.

Why AI favors Atlético Ottawa

  • Strong home recordAtlético Ottawa

    Atlético Ottawa have won 6 of their last 9 home matches.

    6/9 home wins
  • Weak away recordYork United

    York United have won 1 of their last 8 away matches.

    1/8 away wins
  • Good recent formAtlético Ottawa

    Atlético Ottawa have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Sharper attackAtlético Ottawa

    Atlético Ottawa are averaging 2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Lineups not confirmed

    Starting lineups aren't confirmed yet and could materially affect this prediction once they land.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

Match trends

  • Atlético Ottawa have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • York United have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Atlético Ottawa wins
4Draws
3York United wins
9-13Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Atlético Ottawa1.81best 1.90
Draw3.94best 4.30
York United3.47best 3.80

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.45best 1.50
Under 2.52.55best 2.63

Both teams to score

Yes1.44best 1.50
No2.54best 2.70

Double chance

Atlético Ottawa/Draw1.25best 1.30
Atlético Ottawa/York United1.20best 1.23
Draw/York United1.87best 2.02

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.11best 1.11
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.40best 3.40
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes6.00best 6.00

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Atlético Ottawa1.81 0.03
Draw3.94 0.22
York United3.47 0.07
27 Aug28 Aug

Model vs market

Atlético Ottawa win+0.5pp
AI
51%
Market
50.5%
Draw-2.2pp
AI
21%
Market
23.2%
York United win+1.7pp
AI
28%
Market
26.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
3
Atlético Ottawa
19937-130WWWL
7
York United
16466-1418WDLL

Pre-match comparison

2Goals scored per game1.3
1.3Goals conceded per game1.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Atlético Ottawa

0-15'
8.3%
16-30'
8.3%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
8.3%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
41.7%

York United

0-15'
60%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Canadian Premier League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Atlético Ottawa vs York United?+

Our AI model favors Atlético Ottawa to win, with a 51% probability (Draw 21%, York United 28%).

What time does Atlético Ottawa vs York United kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 28, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).