Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca — Liga MX

Liga MX· Apertura - 5

Atletico San Luis

1–1Full-time

CF Pachuca

LWWLLLGoals 14-2415th in league

WWWLWLGoals 15-1313th in league

Home0W 1D 1L(2-3)

Away1W 0D 1L(3-1)

Match events

19'S. D. Barreto
30'Eduardo Bauermann
33'Eduardo Bauermann
36'Kenedy
40'Kenedy (J. Berlanga)
46'Felipe Mora (R. Llorente)
46'B. Galindo (Aldo Cruz)
46'Ó. Macías (R. Llorente)
58'A. Bautista (N. Vallejo)
58'Salomón Rondón (A. Alcaraz)
62'David Rodriguez (R. Najera)
72'A. Duarte (B. Galdames)
78'Oussama Idrissi (Mauricio Andre Isais)
78'S. D. Barreto (S. Rodriguez)
78'E. Montiel (S. Rodriguez)
80'R. Torres (Santiago Muñoz)
83'R. Najera (Felipe Mora)
90+3'Carlos Moreno (N. Vallejo)

Lineups

Atletico San Luis

CF Pachuca

3-4-34-2-3-1

Raul ChabrandCoach

Benjamin Mora

Bench (10)

Bench (9)

AI match analysis

Atletico San Luis win

32%

Draw

26%

CF Pachuca win

42%

63.5%BTTS

64.1%Over 2.5

14.2%Atletico San Luis clean sheet

25.9%CF Pachuca clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests a closely contested match between Atletico San Luis and CF Pachuca, with both teams struggling for form. Atletico San Luis remains winless at home this season, while Pachuca has shown some resilience away from home. Historically, Pachuca has had the upper hand in their last encounters, which could influence the outcome.

Atletico San Luis has not won in their last 3 games, with recent form at DDL.
CF Pachuca has a stronger away record this season, winning 1 out of 2 matches.
Historically, the recent head-to-head battle indicates a competitive matchup, but CF Pachuca has won 3 out of the last 5 encounters.

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

75/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors CF Pachuca

Weak home recordAtletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis have won 0 of their last 2 home matches.
0/2 home wins
Strong away recordCF Pachuca
CF Pachuca have won 1 of their last 2 away matches.
1/2 away wins
Tighter defenseCF Pachuca
CF Pachuca are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game conceded
Historical edgeCF Pachuca
CF Pachuca have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked CF Pachuca at 42% — final result was a draw, Atletico San Luis 1-1 CF Pachuca.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (75/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

CF Pachuca2.25market 44.5% · model 42%

Atletico San Luis2.99market 33.4% · model 32%

Draw ✓3.39market 29.5% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Atletico San Luis have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
CF Pachuca have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Atletico San Luis wins

2Draws

4CF Pachuca wins

10-12Goals

Atletico San Luis

2–1Mar 18, 2024, 1:00 AM

CF Pachuca

0–2Aug 29, 2023, 3:10 AM

Atletico San Luis

CF Pachuca

2–1Apr 22, 2023, 11:00 PM

Atletico San Luis

1–2Sep 19, 2022, 2:00 AM

CF Pachuca

3–2May 15, 2022, 1:05 AM

Atletico San Luis

2–2May 12, 2022, 12:00 AM

CF Pachuca

Atletico San Luis

0–2Jan 7, 2022, 3:00 AM

CF Pachuca

0–0Nov 4, 2021, 1:00 AM

Atletico San Luis

Odds comparison

Match winner

Atletico San Luis2.99▼best 3.20

Draw3.39▼best 3.65

CF Pachuca2.25▲best 2.38

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.78▼best 1.83

Under 2.52.00▲best 2.08

Both teams to score

Yes1.61▼best 1.65

No2.16▲best 2.25

Double chance

Atletico San Luis/Draw1.61▼best 1.70

Atletico San Luis/CF Pachuca1.28best 1.30

Draw/CF Pachuca1.35▲best 1.40

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.25▲best 3.40

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.31▼best 1.33

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.98▼best 4.00

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.21▲best 1.22

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Atletico San Luis2.99▲ 0.04

Draw3.39▲ 0.07

CF Pachuca2.25▲ 0.02

20 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

Atletico San Luis win+0.9pp

AI

32%

Market

31.1%

Draw-1.5pp

AI

26%

Market

27.5%

CF Pachuca win+0.6pp

AI

42%

Market

41.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.