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Aucas vs LDU de Quito

Liga Pro· Regular Season - 25
Aucas
0–1Full-time
LDU de Quito
WWWLGoals 19-82nd in league
DWWWGoals 10-105th in league
Home7W 1D 5L(17-15)
Away6W 2D 5L(14-10)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 32'Richard Mina
  2. 35'Y. Quinonez (J. Rodriguez)
  3. 43'G. Allala
  4. 46'Ayrton Preciado (B. Oyola)
  5. 46'L. Arroyo (Cristopher Zambrano)
  6. 46'L. Arroyo (B. Oyola)
  7. 46'Ayrton Preciado (Cristopher Zambrano)
  8. 48'Alejandro Tobar
  9. 54'Rodney Redes (R. Mina)
  10. 58'Luis Gustavino
  11. 68'R. Mina
  12. 69'A. Garcia (M. A. Carcelen Carabali)
  13. 71'P. Ortiz (F. Cornejo)
  14. 71'J. Rodriguez (J. Carabali)
  15. 71'P. Ortiz (J. Carabali)
  16. 71'J. Rodriguez (F. Cornejo)
  17. 72'Alejandro Tobar (Jesús Pretell)
  18. 75'A. Spina
  19. 82'Alexander Alvarado (S. Gonzalez Baquero)
  20. 82'A. Mena (R. Bolanos)
  21. 86'Cristopher Zambrano
  22. 90+4'B. Oyola
  23. 90+4'Deyverson
  24. 90+10'Alexander Domínguez

Lineups

Aucas
LDU de Quito
4-1-4-13-5-2
13
13. H. Piedra
← 69'
63. A. Garcia
2
2. S. Morales
4. Mateo Burdisso
16. Luis Gustavino
6
6. A. Spina
28. Robino Quinónez
← 82'
18. A. Mena
21
21. P. Guzman
29
← 46'
29. L. Arroyo
← 46'
10. Ayrton Preciado
16. Deyverson
23
23. Y. Quinonez
31
← 71'
31. J. Rodriguez
10
← 82'
10. Alexander Alvarado
99
← 72'
99. Alejandro Tobar
← 54'
7. Rodney Redes
26
26. I. Zambrano
25
25. Patrick Ortiz
3
3. Richard Mina
30
30. G. Allala
22
22. Alexander Domínguez
Norberto AraujoCoachGustavo Alvarez
Bench (12)
Bench (12)
AucasLDU de Quito
1.9
Goals/game
1.0
0.8
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Aucas win
33.45%
Draw
30.85%
LDU de Quito win
35.7%
45.4%BTTS
41.7%Over 2.5
40.7%Aucas clean sheet
23.5%LDU de Quito clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Historical data suggests a competitive matchup between Aucas and LDU de Quito, with both teams having strong playoff aspirations. Aucas displays a slightly better home form, while LDU de Quito's recent away struggles may impact their performance. Overall, a draw appears plausible given the close nature of their recent encounters.

  • Aucas has a solid home record with 7 wins from 12 matches.
  • LDU de Quito has struggled away, with only 5 wins in 12 matches.
  • The last five head-to-head encounters are closely contested, with both teams winning two times each.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
69/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors LDU de Quito

  • Sharper attackAucas

    Aucas are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.9/game
  • Good recent formAucas

    Aucas have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Good recent formLDU de Quito

    LDU de Quito have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Higher league positionAucas

    Aucas sit 3 places above LDU de Quito in the table.

    #2 vs #5

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked LDU de Quito at 35.7% — final result was LDU de Quito win, Aucas 0-1 LDU de Quito.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

LDU de Quito ✓2.52market 39.6% · model 35.7%
Aucas2.66market 37.5% · model 33.45%
Draw3.03market 33% · model 30.85%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Aucas have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • LDU de Quito have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Aucas wins
3Draws
3LDU de Quito wins
6-8Goals
LDU de Quito
1–0Aug 26, 2026, 10:00 PM
Aucas
Aucas
1–0Aug 9, 2025, 9:30 PM
LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito
3–1Apr 18, 2025, 9:30 PM
Aucas
Aucas
0–1Aug 17, 2024, 9:30 PM
LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito
1–2Mar 16, 2024, 8:30 PM
Aucas
Aucas
0–0Aug 13, 2023, 11:00 PM
LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito
1–1Mar 4, 2023, 9:30 PM
Aucas
Aucas
1–1Aug 7, 2022, 7:00 PM
LDU de Quito

Odds comparison

Match winner

Aucas2.66▲best 2.85
Draw3.03▼best 3.30
LDU de Quito2.52▼best 2.75

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.17▲best 2.32
Under 2.51.61▼best 1.65

Both teams to score

Yes1.83▲best 1.88
No1.82▼best 1.87

Double chance

Aucas/Draw1.45▲best 1.53
Aucas/LDU de Quito1.30▲best 1.36
Draw/LDU de Quito1.41▼best 1.47

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.36▲best 1.36
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.33▼best 1.33
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.00▼best 3.00
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.25▲best 3.25

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Aucas2.66▲ 0.39
Draw3.03▼ 0.09
LDU de Quito2.52▼ 0.43
14 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

Aucas win-0.6pp
AI
33.45%
Market
34.1%
Draw+0.9pp
AI
30.85%
Market
30%
LDU de Quito win-0.3pp
AI
35.7%
Market
36%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
Aucas
261358+444LWWL
5
LDU de Quito
261259+641WLWW

Pre-match comparison

1.9Goals scored per game1
0.8Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Aucas

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
50%

LDU de Quito

0-15'
11.1%
16-30'
22.2%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
11.1%
76-90+'
55.6%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Aucas vs LDU de Quito?+

Our AI model favors LDU de Quito to win, with a 35.7% probability (Draw 30.85%, Aucas 33.45%).

What time does Aucas vs LDU de Quito kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 12:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).