Auda vs FK Liepaja

Virsliga· Regular Season - 23
Auda
10Full-time
FK Liepaja
LWWDGoals 13-163rd in league
WLWWGoals 18-155th in league
Home8W 2D 4L(26-15)
Away4W 2D 9L(13-27)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 14'T. Hrvoj (Sebastián Aranda)
  2. 62'D. Patijcuks
  3. 64'I. Mushindi (E. Rodolphe)
  4. 70'A. Ogunniyi (B. Melnis)
  5. 71'D. Patijcuks (A. Leite)
  6. 71'kader kone (Andrews Appiah)
  7. 73'A. Ogunniyi (B. Melnis)
  8. 77'Youba Traore (E. Bongemba)
  9. 84'E. Bongemba (roberts bocs)
  10. 84'Jevgenijs Miņins (B. Pena)
  11. 84'B. Diedhiou (J. Gerold)
  12. 85'E. Rodolphe
  13. 88'E. Rodolphe
  14. 88'E. Rodolphe
  15. 88'Bart Straalman
Lineups unavailable for this match.
AudaFK Liepaja
1.3
Goals/game
1.8
1.6
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

Auda win
45%
Draw
26%
FK Liepaja win
29%
61.6%BTTS
59.9%Over 2.5
18.3%Auda clean sheet
24.7%FK Liepaja clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests Auda holds an advantage at home as they rank 3rd in the league and have performed well recently. Meanwhile, FK Liepaja struggles with form away from home, evidenced by only 4 wins in 14 matches this season. Historical head-to-head results favor Auda, further complicating FK Liepaja's prospects.

  • Auda ranks 3rd in the league with a strong recent form of WWWDL.
  • FK Liepaja has only secured 4 wins in 14 away games this season.
  • Historically, Auda has won 3 out of the last 5 encounters against FK Liepaja.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Auda

  • Strong home recordAuda

    Auda have won 8 of their last 14 home matches.

    8/14 home wins
  • Weak away recordFK Liepaja

    FK Liepaja have won 4 of their last 15 away matches.

    4/15 away wins
  • Sharper attackFK Liepaja

    FK Liepaja are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.8/game
  • Historical edgeFK Liepaja

    FK Liepaja have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    4/8 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Auda at 45% — final result was Auda win, Auda 1-0 FK Liepaja.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Auda1.97market 50.8% · model 45%
FK Liepaja3.23market 31% · model 29%
Draw3.48market 28.8% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Auda have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • FK Liepaja have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Auda wins
2Draws
4FK Liepaja wins
8-8Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Auda1.97best 2.05
Draw3.48best 3.60
FK Liepaja3.23best 3.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.62best 1.67
Under 2.52.15best 2.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.54best 1.57
No2.27best 2.38

Double chance

Auda/Draw1.26best 1.30
Auda/FK Liepaja1.22best 1.30
Draw/FK Liepaja1.73best 1.80

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.14best 1.14
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.00best 5.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.33best 1.33
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.25best 3.25

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Auda1.97 0.15
Draw3.48 0.20
FK Liepaja3.23 0.26
22 Aug25 Aug

Model vs market

Auda win-1pp
AI
45%
Market
46%
Draw0pp
AI
26%
Market
26%
FK Liepaja win+1pp
AI
29%
Market
28%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
3
Auda
271656+1753WWWW
5
FK Liepaja
2711412-337WWLW

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.8
1.6Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Auda

0-15'
0%
16-30'
57.1%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
28.6%
76-90+'
14.3%

FK Liepaja

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

More Virsliga predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Auda vs FK Liepaja?+

Our AI model favors Auda to win, with a 45% probability (Draw 26%, FK Liepaja 29%).

What time does Auda vs FK Liepaja kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).