Avangard Kursk vs Kaluga
Match events
- 11'Y. Sychev
- 21'I. Mamkin
- 54'Y. Sychev
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 1.1
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 0.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests Kaluga may hold the advantage heading into this matchup, having demonstrated a solid performance with recent unbeaten results. Avangard Kursk, on the other hand, is struggling, losing three of their last five outings, which may impact their confidence going into the game. The previous encounter between these teams also favored Kaluga, indicating a potential challenge for the home side.
- Kaluga unbeaten in last 3 matches
- Avangard Kursk lost 3 of their last 5 matches
- Historical head-to-head favors Kaluga with 1 win in their last encounter
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Kaluga
- Historical edgeKaluga
Kaluga have won 1 of the last 1 meetings between these two teams.
1/1 H2H wins - Tighter defenseKaluga
Kaluga are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game conceded - Sharper attackKaluga
Kaluga are averaging 1.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Kaluga at 41.51% — final result was Kaluga win, Avangard Kursk 1-2 Kaluga.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (63/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Avangard Kursk have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Kaluga have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 2 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Avangard Kursk
Kaluga
More Cup predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Avangard Kursk vs Kaluga?+
Our AI model favors Kaluga to win, with a 41.51% probability (Draw 28.87%, Avangard Kursk 29.63%).
What time does Avangard Kursk vs Kaluga kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 10:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).