Avellino vs Arezzo
Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino · Capacity 26,308 · grass · Referee: M. Drigo
Match events
- 8'G. Iaccarino
- 12'D. Fila (A. Favilli)
- 15'R. Russo (M. Palumbo)
- 54'Michele Besaggio
- 56'P. Cianci
- 63'M. Sala
- 63'M. Palumbo (L. Di Maggio)
- 64'Michele Besaggio (Dimitrios Sounas)
- 64'B. Moruzzi (Marco Sala)
- 66'M. Sala (S. M. Eklu)
- 77'Alessandro Arena (E. Pattarello)
- 77'P. Cianci (Muhamed Varela Djamanca)
- 78'L. Palmiero
- 82'G. Iaccarino (M. Viviani)
- 83'Tommaso Biasci (Luca Pandolfi)
- 90'Artur Ioniță (S. Righetti)
- 0.8
- Goals/game
- 1.1
- 1.3
- Conceded/game
- 1.7
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a closely contested match as Avellino, despite their higher league standing, has struggled in their recent form, scoring only 0.8 goals per game. Arezzo has shown a tendency to concede goals away, averaging 1.71 goals against. The predicted score reflects the trends in goal scoring and conceding, indicating a likely draw.
- Avellino ranked 2nd in the league while Arezzo is ranked 10th.
- Arezzo's away record has seen them concede 1.71 goals per game on average in their last 7 matches.
- Avellino has scored an average of 0.8 goals per game across their last 10 matches.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Avellino
- Higher league positionArezzo
Arezzo sit 8 places above Avellino in the table.
#5 vs #13 - Poor recent formAvellino
Avellino have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Poor recent formArezzo
Arezzo have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Sharper attackArezzo
Arezzo are averaging 1.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Avellino at 42.5% — final result was Arezzo win, Avellino 1-2 Arezzo.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Avellino have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Arezzo have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 7 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 7 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Arezzo
More Serie B predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Avellino vs Arezzo?+
Our AI model favors Avellino to win, with a 42.5% probability (Draw 29.62%, Arezzo 27.88%).
Where is Avellino vs Arezzo played?+
The match is played at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino (capacity 26,308).
What time does Avellino vs Arezzo kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).