Ayr Utd vs Morton
Somerset Park, Ayr · Capacity 10,128 · grass · Referee: D. McFarlane
Kickoff: Aug 29, 2026, 3:00 PM (stadium time)
Your time: —
- 0.7
- Goals/game
- 0.9
- 1.8
- Conceded/game
- 1.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-0
Data suggests Ayr Utd holds an advantage in this matchup, having secured a victory in their only home game this season. Morton, struggling with no points and a poor recent form, may find it challenging to turn their luck around, especially given their historical struggles against Ayr Utd. The numbers favor a narrow win for Ayr Utd, potentially keeping a clean sheet.
- Ayr Utd has won 1 and lost 0 at home this season
- Morton is currently on a three-match losing streak
- Historically, Ayr Utd has won 2 of the last 5 encounters against Morton
- Morton has scored an average of 0.9 goals per game in their last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Ayr Utd
- Strong home recordAyr Utd
Ayr Utd have won 1 of their last 1 home matches.
1/1 home wins - Weak away recordMorton
Morton have won 0 of their last 1 away matches.
0/1 away wins - Higher league positionAyr Utd
Ayr Utd sit 3 places above Morton in the table.
#6 vs #9 - Poor recent formAyr Utd
Ayr Utd have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Lineups not confirmed
Starting lineups aren't confirmed yet and could materially affect this prediction once they land.
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Match trends
- Ayr Utd have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Morton have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
D. McFarlane
Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Ayr Utd
Morton
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Who is likely to win Ayr Utd vs Morton?+
Our AI model favors Ayr Utd to win, with a 55% probability (Draw 26%, Morton 19%).
Where is Ayr Utd vs Morton played?+
The match is played at Somerset Park, Ayr (capacity 10,128).
What time does Ayr Utd vs Morton kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 29, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).