Bahlinger SC vs 1. FC Magdeburg

DFB Pokal· Round of 64
LDDDGoals 4-6
LLLWGoals 15-25

Value found

+11.5% edge

Bahlinger SC win

28.09AI fair odds
31.33Bookmaker odds
+11.5%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 5'M. Zukowski (L. Hyrylainen)
  2. 15'A. Echner
  3. 31'F. Michel (B. Atik)
  4. 44'M. Zukowski (B. Atik)
  5. 62'T. Reitz (R. Šimić)
  6. 62'Emmanuel Iyoha (M. Baars)
  7. 74'R. Wehrle (R. Geller)
  8. 74'H. Pepic
  9. 76'A. Nollenberger (E. Dzogovic)
  10. 77'B. Atik
  11. 77'F. Michel (Tobias Müller)
  12. 78'H. Bux
  13. 82'B. Atik (Richmond Tachie)
  14. 82'M. Zukowski (K. Manthey)
  15. 83'M. Stefotic (K. Herrmann)
  16. 84'M. Bauer
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Bahlinger SC1. FC Magdeburg
1.0
Goals/game
1.5
1.5
Conceded/game
2.5

AI match analysis

Bahlinger SC win
3.56%
Draw
5.3%
1. FC Magdeburg win
91.14%
64.2%BTTS
63%Over 2.5
22.3%Bahlinger SC clean sheet
17.4%1. FC Magdeburg clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-3

The numbers suggest that 1. FC Magdeburg enters this match as a significant favorite based on their overall recent form. Bahlinger SC's defensive instability, reflected in their average conceded goals, may be exploited by Magdeburg, who, despite mixed results, have shown a stronger scoring capability. Additionally, Bahlinger SC's tendency to draw indicates competitive spirit, but they are likely to struggle against Magdeburg's offense.

  • Bahlinger SC has drawn 3 of their last 4 matches
  • 1. FC Magdeburg has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Bahlinger SC's average of 1 scored and 1.5 conceded suggests defensive weaknesses
  • 1. FC Magdeburg's average of 2.5 conceded indicates strong vulnerabilities in defense
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors 1. FC Magdeburg

  • Sharper attack1. FC Magdeburg

    1. FC Magdeburg are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game
  • Tighter defenseBahlinger SC

    Bahlinger SC are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game conceded
  • Poor recent form1. FC Magdeburg

    1. FC Magdeburg have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Limited recent-match sample

    Bahlinger SC has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked 1. FC Magdeburg at 91.14% — final result was 1. FC Magdeburg win, Bahlinger SC 0-4 1. FC Magdeburg.

Predicted score was 1-3.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

1. FC Magdeburg1.04market 96.2% · model 91.14%
Draw15.13market 6.6% · model 5.3%
Bahlinger SC31.33market 3.2% · model 3.56%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Bahlinger SC have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 4 matches.
  • 1. FC Magdeburg have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Bahlinger SC31.33best 41.00
Draw15.13best 18.66
1. FC Magdeburg1.04best 1.06

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.17best 1.22
Under 2.54.50best 6.25

Both teams to score

Yes2.40best 2.62
No1.51best 1.77

Double chance

Bahlinger SC/Draw11.16best 13.00
Bahlinger SC/1. FC Magdeburg1.02best 1.03
Draw/1. FC Magdeburg1.01best 1.01

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes1.50best 1.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No2.50best 2.50
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes23.00best 23.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.01best 1.01

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Bahlinger SC31.33 0.33
Draw15.13 2.75
1. FC Magdeburg1.04
20 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Bahlinger SC win+0.6pp
AI
3.56%
Market
3%
Draw-0.9pp
AI
5.3%
Market
6.2%
1. FC Magdeburg win+0.3pp
AI
91.14%
Market
90.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game1.5
1.5Goals conceded per game2.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 4 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

1. FC Magdeburg

0-15'
0%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
0%

More DFB Pokal predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Bahlinger SC vs 1. FC Magdeburg?+

Our AI model favors 1. FC Magdeburg to win, with a 91.14% probability (Draw 5.3%, Bahlinger SC 3.56%).

What time does Bahlinger SC vs 1. FC Magdeburg kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 1:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).