Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala

Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad · Capacity 35,212 · grass · Referee: D. Kashirin
Match events
- 18'S. Varatynov
- 22'Mingiyan Beveev
- 46'Mingiyan Beveev (E. Ćivić)
- 46'S. Varatynov (I. Kirsch)
- 47'V. Pospelov (Mikhail Ryadno)
- 60'V. Pospelov (T. Yenne)
- 62'E. Smelov (M. Apshatsev)
- 62'D. Lesovoy (N. Glushkov)
- 67'M. Apshatsev
- 69'S. Kagermazov (T. Sundukov)
- 70'B. Gil (D. Nikitin)
- 73'R. Magomedov (H. Mrezigue)
- 73'A. Dzhabrailov (S. Serderov)
- 85'K. Shiltsov (Stefan Kovač)
Lineups
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 1.2
- 1.3
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The data suggests a tightly contested match given the recent performances of both teams. Baltika has struggled lately, losing four of their last five matches, while Dinamo Makhachkala has shown a better form, winning three of their latest five fixtures. Historically, their head-to-head encounters have been competitive, including a draw and a previous win for Baltika. The predicted score reflects a likely low-scoring game, considering both teams' scoring averages.
- Baltika has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
- Dinamo Makhachkala won 3 of their last 5 matches
- Last 2 head-to-head encounters resulted in a draw and a win for Baltika
- Overall scoring averages favor a low-scoring match based on recent form
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Baltika
- Poor recent formBaltika
Baltika have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Good recent formDinamo Makhachkala
Dinamo Makhachkala have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Historical edgeBaltika
Baltika have won 1 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.
1/2 H2H wins - Sharper attackDinamo Makhachkala
Dinamo Makhachkala are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Baltika at 48% — final result was a draw, Baltika 1-1 Dinamo Makhachkala.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Baltika have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Dinamo Makhachkala have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 6 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Baltika
Dinamo Makhachkala
Match statistics
More Cup predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala?+
Our AI model favors Baltika to win, with a 48% probability (Draw 30%, Dinamo Makhachkala 22%).
Where is Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala played?+
The match is played at Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad (capacity 35,212).
What time does Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 5:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).



