Baltika vs Rubin
Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad · Capacity 35,212 · grass
Value found
+2.9% edgeRubin win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 8'J. Siwe (I. Rozhkov)
- 56'M. Petrov (Nnamdi Chinonso Offor)
- 57'A. Mourid (I. Petrov)
- 64'Nnamdi Chinonso Offor (I. Petrov)
- 64'Goal Disallowed - video review — Nnamdi Chinonso Offor
- 67'V. Hodza (I. Saavedra)
- 68'Anderson Arroyo (R. Bezrukov)
- 75'B. Gil (V. Pospelov)
- 75'A. Mendel (I. Belikov)
- 79'Aleksandar Jukic
- 81'Aleksandar Jukic (D. Maldonado)
- 84'N. Titkov (K. Shiltsov)
- 84'I. Rozhkov (M. Ignatiev)
- 84'U. Iwu (B. Jocic)
- 90+4'S. Varatynov (V. Pospelov)
Lineups
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 0.9
- 1.3
- Conceded/game
- 0.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Statistical analysis suggests a closely matched contest, with both teams showing mixed form in their recent outings. Rubin's tendency to draw matches, coupled with Baltika's struggles at home, may lead to a competitive battle resulting in a low-scoring draw.
- Rubin has drawn their last four matches
- Baltika has won only 1 of their last 5 home games
- Historically, Rubin has won 3 of the last 4 encounters against Baltika
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Baltika
- Historical edgeRubin
Rubin have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
3/4 H2H wins - Tighter defenseRubin
Rubin are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game conceded - Higher league positionBaltika
Baltika sit 2 places above Rubin in the table.
#6 vs #8 - Sharper attackBaltika
Baltika are averaging 1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Baltika at 45% — final result was a draw, Baltika 1-1 Rubin.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (79/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Baltika have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Rubin have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 0 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 6 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Baltika
Rubin
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DynamoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Baltika vs Rubin?+
Our AI model favors Baltika to win, with a 45% probability (Draw 30%, Rubin 25%).
Where is Baltika vs Rubin played?+
The match is played at Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad (capacity 35,212).
What time does Baltika vs Rubin kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 24, 2026, 5:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).