Baltimore Ravens vs Philadelphia Eagles — NFL

NFL· Week 1

Baltimore Ravens

24–7Full-time

Philadelphia Eagles

WLLWWWPoints 250-160

LLLLLLPoints 184-201

Home13W 0D 7L(543-397)

Away13W 0D 7L(459-392)

M&T Bank Stadium

Value found

+29.3% edge

Baltimore Ravens win

2AI fair odds

2.59Bookmaker odds

+29.3%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today

Kickoff

In Progress

Final

Score by quarter

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Baltimore Ravens	0	7	3	14	24
Philadelphia Eagles	0	0	0	7	7

AI match analysis

Baltimore Ravens win

50%

Draw

Philadelphia Eagles win

50%

Predicted score: 25-25

Data suggests a balanced matchup between the Baltimore Ravens and Philadelphia Eagles, with both teams showing similar scoring capabilities in their recent performances. The Ravens' average of 25 points scored in their last ten matches compares favorably against the Eagles' 19, yet the head-to-head encounters indicate a closely contested rivalry. The numbers favor a potentially high-scoring draw, given the even distribution of scoring and outcomes in their previous meetings.

Baltimore Ravens scored an average of 25 points in their last 10 matches
Philadelphia Eagles have a lower average of 19 points scored in their last 10 matches
Historically, the head-to-head record is very competitive with no team having a distinct advantage

AI ConfidenceLow confidence

30/100

Confidence is low because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Baltimore Ravens

Tighter defensePhiladelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles are conceding just 20.1 points per game over their recent matches.
20.1/game conceded
Good recent formBaltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L
Poor recent formPhiladelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.
0W 0D 5L
Historical edgeBaltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

Below-average model confidence
Overall model confidence for this match is 30/100 — treat the prediction as directional rather than decisive.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 50% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Baltimore Ravens at 50% — final result was Baltimore Ravens win, Baltimore Ravens 24-7 Philadelphia Eagles.

Predicted score was 25-25.

The model itself only flagged this as a low confidence pick (30/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Philadelphia Eagles1.50market 66.6% · model 50%

Baltimore Ravens ✓2.59market 38.7% · model 50%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Baltimore Ravens have averaged 25 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Philadelphia Eagles have averaged 18.4 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Baltimore Ravens are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Philadelphia Eagles.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Baltimore Ravens2.59best 2.70AI 50%

Philadelphia Eagles1.50best 1.57AI 50%

Point spread

Line	Baltimore Ravens	Philadelphia Eagles
+1.5	2.05	1.77
+2	2.00	1.81
+2.5	1.98	1.79
+3	1.91	1.87
+3.5	1.90	1.89
+4	1.81	1.96
+4.5	1.67	2.05
+5	1.62	2.15

Total points

Line	Over	Under
35.5	1.81	1.99
36	1.79	1.99
36.5	1.87	1.90
37	1.87	1.92
37.5	1.91	1.88
38	1.90	1.80
38.5	1.93	1.77
39	1.95	1.75

Average price across 10 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Model vs market

Baltimore Ravens win+13.3pp

50%

Market

36.7%

Philadelphia Eagles win-13.3pp

50%

Market

63.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.