Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders
M&T Bank Stadium
Value found
+6% edgeBaltimore Ravens win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 41 | |
| 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 24-17
Data suggests that the Baltimore Ravens are in stronger form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches, compared to the Washington Commanders who have struggled with 4 losses in their last 5. The Ravens' average scoring of 23.2 points per game along with a solid defense limiting opponents to 17.3 points supports their favorable position. Historically, the Ravens have dominated this matchup, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters.
- Baltimore Ravens won 4 of their last 5 matches
- Washington Commanders have lost 4 of their last 5 matches
- Baltimore Ravens average 23.2 points scored while conceding 17.3
- Head-to-head record in the last 5 matches favors Baltimore Ravens 4-1
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Baltimore Ravens
- Tighter defenseBaltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens are conceding just 16 points per game over their recent matches.
16/game conceded - Historical edgeBaltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Good recent formBaltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Poor recent formWashington Commanders
Washington Commanders have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Baltimore Ravens at 65% — final result was Baltimore Ravens win, Baltimore Ravens 41-3 Washington Commanders.
Predicted score was 24-17.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Baltimore Ravens have averaged 25 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Washington Commanders have averaged 16.9 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Baltimore Ravens are unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Washington Commanders.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Baltimore Ravens | Washington Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| -5 | 2.15 | 1.62 |
| -4.5 | 2.06 | 1.69 |
| -4 | 2.00 | 1.73 |
| -3.5 | 1.99▲ | 1.80▼ |
| -3 | 1.88▼ | 1.90▲ |
| -2.5 | 1.80▼ | 1.98▲ |
| -2 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
| -1.5 | 1.69 | 2.05 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
| 33 | 1.73 | 2.00 |
| 33.5 | 1.86▲ | 1.90▲ |
| 34 | 1.89▲ | 1.89▼ |
| 34.5 | 1.94▲ | 1.82▼ |
| 35 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| 35.5 | 1.91▲ | 1.84▼ |
| 36 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
More NFL predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders?+
Our AI model favors Baltimore Ravens to win, with a 65% probability (Washington Commanders 35%).
What time does Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 28, 2026, 10:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders?+
Baltimore Ravens: 14-10-10-7. Washington Commanders: 0-0-3-0. Final: 41-3.

