Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders

NFL· Week 3
LWWWPoints 250-160
WWLLPoints 169-236
Home13W 0D 7L(543-397)
Away8W 0D 12L(403-556)

M&T Bank Stadium

Value found

+6% edge

Baltimore Ravens win

1.54AI fair odds
1.63Bookmaker odds
+6%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Kickoff
In Progress
Final

Score by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baltimore Ravens
141010741
Washington Commanders
00303

AI match analysis

Baltimore Ravens win
65%
Draw
10%
Washington Commanders win
25%

Predicted score: 24-17

Data suggests that the Baltimore Ravens are in stronger form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches, compared to the Washington Commanders who have struggled with 4 losses in their last 5. The Ravens' average scoring of 23.2 points per game along with a solid defense limiting opponents to 17.3 points supports their favorable position. Historically, the Ravens have dominated this matchup, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters.

  • Baltimore Ravens won 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Washington Commanders have lost 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Baltimore Ravens average 23.2 points scored while conceding 17.3
  • Head-to-head record in the last 5 matches favors Baltimore Ravens 4-1
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Baltimore Ravens

  • Tighter defenseBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens are conceding just 16 points per game over their recent matches.

    16/game conceded
  • Historical edgeBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    4/5 H2H wins
  • Good recent formBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Poor recent formWashington Commanders

    Washington Commanders have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Baltimore Ravens at 65% — final result was Baltimore Ravens win, Baltimore Ravens 41-3 Washington Commanders.

Predicted score was 24-17.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Baltimore Ravens1.63market 61.3% · model 65%
Washington Commanders2.28market 43.9% · model 25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Baltimore Ravens have averaged 25 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Washington Commanders have averaged 16.9 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Baltimore Ravens are unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Washington Commanders.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Baltimore Ravens1.63best 1.67AI 65%
Washington Commanders2.28best 2.36AI 25%

Point spread

LineBaltimore RavensWashington Commanders
-52.151.62
-4.52.061.69
-42.001.73
-3.51.991.80
-31.881.90
-2.51.801.98
-21.702.05
-1.51.692.05

Total points

LineOverUnder
321.622.15
331.732.00
33.51.861.90
341.891.89
34.51.941.82
351.901.80
35.51.911.84
361.951.75

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Baltimore Ravens1.63 0.02
Washington Commanders2.28 0.04
27 Aug28 Aug

Model vs market

Baltimore Ravens win+6.8pp
AI
65%
Market
58.2%
Washington Commanders win-16.8pp
AI
25%
Market
41.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

4Baltimore Ravens wins
0Draws
1Washington Commanders wins
142-73Points
Standings not available yet.

More NFL predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders?+

Our AI model favors Baltimore Ravens to win, with a 65% probability (Washington Commanders 35%).

What time does Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 28, 2026, 10:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the score by quarter in Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders?+

Baltimore Ravens: 14-10-10-7. Washington Commanders: 0-0-3-0. Final: 41-3.