Barnsley vs Bromley — League One

League One· Regular Season - 1

Barnsley

0–1Full-time

Bromley

WDLWDWGoals 12-1221st in league

WLLWLDGoals 12-128th in league

Home0W 0D 1L(0-1)

Away1W 0D 0L(1-0)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

38'Jonathan Bland
66'Jacob Mendy (C. Headman)
67'B. Thompson (J. McKiernan)
68'Corey Whitely (E. Archer)
68'Michael Cheek (V. Adeboyejo)
70'V. Adeboyejo (E. Archer)
71'L. Alker (Makenzie Kirk)
71'Jonathan Bland (A. Richards)
77'Cameron McGeehan
77'Mitchell Pinnock
85'Luca Connell (Noah Philip Town)
90+1'W. Hondermarck
90+5'Makenzie Kirk
90+7'Arley Kay (Callum Hudson)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

BarnsleyBromley

1.2
Goals/game: 1.2; 1.2
Conceded/game: 1.2

AI match analysis

Barnsley win

43%

Draw

28%

Bromley win

29%

48.8%BTTS

43%Over 2.5

30.1%Barnsley clean sheet

30.1%Bromley clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a fairly balanced matchup between Barnsley and Bromley, with both teams showing moderate recent form. Barnsley has secured just 1 win in their last 5 fixtures, while Bromley has only managed 1 victory as well, indicating potential scoring challenges. The statistical averages for goals scored and conceded lean towards a draw, which aligns with bookmaker probabilities.

Barnsley has managed only 1 win in their last 5 matches
Bromley has struggled, with only 1 win in their last 5 matches as well
Both teams have similar scoring averages over their last 10 matches
Historical data shows close contests in past encounters.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

72/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Barnsley

Higher league positionBromley
Bromley sit 13 places above Barnsley in the table.
#8 vs #21
Good recent formBarnsley
Barnsley have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L
Sharper attackBromley
Bromley are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game
Tighter defenseBromley
Bromley are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Barnsley at 43% — final result was Bromley win, Barnsley 0-1 Bromley.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (72/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Barnsley2.11market 47.3% · model 43%

Bromley ✓3.25market 30.7% · model 29%

Draw3.42market 29.2% · model 28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Barnsley have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Bromley have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Barnsley2.11▲best 2.20

Draw3.42▲best 3.63

Bromley3.25▼best 3.35

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.84▼best 1.89

Under 2.51.93▲best 2.05

Both teams to score

Yes1.67▼best 1.75

No2.08▲best 2.20

Double chance

Barnsley/Draw1.32▲best 1.37

Barnsley/Bromley1.28▲best 1.30

Draw/Bromley1.67▼best 1.75

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.75▼best 2.75

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.40▲best 1.40

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.22▲best 1.22

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.00▼best 4.00

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Barnsley2.11▲ 0.21

Draw3.42▼ 0.04

Bromley3.25▼ 0.41

12 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

Barnsley win-1.1pp

43%

Market

44.1%

Draw+0.8pp

28%

Market

27.2%

Bromley win+0.3pp

29%

Market

28.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.