Barracas Central vs Platense

Liga Profesional Argentina· Clausura - 6
LLLLGoals 8-147th in league
DDWWGoals 5-127th in league
Home1W 0D 2L(2-3)
Away2W 0D 1L(4-3)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 17'Fernando Tobio (N. Capraro)
  2. 17'M. Mendia
  3. 23'I. Tapia
  4. 31'N. Briasco
  5. 34'N. Demartini
  6. 40'K. Jappert
  7. 46'N. Briasco (G. Maroni)
  8. 56'I. Tapia
  9. 59'K. Retamar (F. Zapiola)
  10. 69'L. Heredia (L. Gimenez)
  11. 76'F. Zapiola (B. Merlini)
  12. 76'F. Bussio (M. Barrios)
  13. 79'I. Tapia (E. Pereyra)
  14. 79'T. Porra (R. Bogarín)
  15. 85'F. Bruera (J. Candia)
  16. 86'K. Retamar (Nico López)
  17. 90'L. Gimenez (B. Merlini)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Barracas CentralPlatense
0.8
Goals/game
0.5
1.4
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Barracas Central win
35%
Draw
34%
Platense win
31%
38.8%BTTS
31%Over 2.5
38.7%Barracas Central clean sheet
36.8%Platense clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a tightly contested match, with both teams having difficulty securing wins recently. Barracas Central's home form is concerning, as they have only managed one victory at home this season. Platense has a favorable head-to-head record against Barracas, but both teams show low scoring potential, which may lead to a draw.

  • Barracas Central has struggled at home with just 1 win in 2 games this season.
  • Platense has not lost to Barracas Central in their last 3 encounters, with 3 draws.
  • Both teams averaged low scoring and high conceding rates in their recent matches.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
68/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Barracas Central

  • Weak home recordBarracas Central

    Barracas Central have won 1 of their last 3 home matches.

    1/3 home wins
  • Strong away recordPlatense

    Platense have won 2 of their last 3 away matches.

    2/3 away wins
  • Historical edgeBarracas Central

    Barracas Central have won 1 of the last 3 meetings between these two teams.

    1/3 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formBarracas Central

    Barracas Central have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 35% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Barracas Central at 35% — final result was Platense win, Barracas Central 1-2 Platense.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Barracas Central2.64market 37.9% · model 35%
Draw2.74market 36.5% · model 34%
Platense3.09market 32.3% · model 31%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Barracas Central have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Platense have averaged 0.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 of the last 3 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 0 of the last 3 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Barracas Central wins
2Draws
0Platense wins
1-0Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Barracas Central2.64best 2.76
Draw2.74best 2.85
Platense3.09best 3.25

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.53.24best 3.50
Under 2.51.32best 1.38

Both teams to score

Yes2.39best 2.50
No1.52best 1.62

Double chance

Barracas Central/Draw1.35best 1.38
Barracas Central/Platense1.42best 1.45
Draw/Platense1.45best 1.50

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.48best 1.50
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.52best 2.55
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.61best 1.67
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.20best 2.30

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Barracas Central2.64 0.08
Draw2.74 0.05
Platense3.09 0.08
20 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Barracas Central win-0.5pp
AI
35%
Market
35.5%
Draw-0.2pp
AI
34%
Market
34.2%
Platense win+0.7pp
AI
31%
Market
30.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
7
Barracas Central
6303-19LLWW
7
Platense
6222-38DWLL

Pre-match comparison

0.8Goals scored per game0.5
1.4Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

H. Mastrangelo

6Yellow cards / game
1Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Barracas Central

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
100%

Platense

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
6.3%
46-60'
12.5%
61-75'
12.5%
76-90+'
68.8%

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Barracas Central vs Platense?+

Our AI model favors Barracas Central to win, with a 35% probability (Draw 34%, Platense 31%).

What time does Barracas Central vs Platense kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 5:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).