Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor
Match events
- 14'Christopher Operi (Abbosbek Fayzullaev)
- 27'Emin Bayram
- 27'Goal Disallowed - Foul — Emin Bayram
- 31'Tayfur Bingöl
- 51'Abbosbek Fayzullaev
- 63'Abbosbek Fayzullaev (Yusuf Sari)
- 66'Berkan Kutlu (Metehan Altunbaş)
- 72'Bertuğ Yıldırım
- 72'Eldor Shomurodov (A. Olsen)
- 75'Bertuğ Yıldırım (Umut Bozok)
- 75'Eldor Shomurodov (Davie Selke)
- 76'Tayfur Bingöl (Emir Ortakaya)
- 81'Tanguy Zoukrou
- 85'Daniel Agyei (E. Bilim)
- 85'Makana Baku (Arda Ozyar)
- 89'A. Olsen (Hamza Güreler)
- 89'Jakub Kałuziński (Onur Ergün)
- 90+2'Ömer Ali Şahiner
Lineups
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 0.6
- 1.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests Başakşehir enters this match in stronger form, having secured three victories in their last five games, while Kocaelispor struggles with four losses during the same timeframe. Historical head-to-head outcomes favor Başakşehir, which won the most recent encounter. The numbers favor a home win, with projected scores indicating a 2-1 victory for Başakşehir.
- Başakşehir won 3 of their last 5 matches
- Kocaelispor has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
- Last 2 head-to-head encounters show Başakşehir edged Kocaelispor 1-0 and played to a goalless draw
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Başakşehir
- Good recent formBaşakşehir
Başakşehir have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formKocaelispor
Kocaelispor have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Historical edgeBaşakşehir
Başakşehir have won 1 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.
1/2 H2H wins - Sharper attackBaşakşehir
Başakşehir are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Başakşehir at 58% — final result was Başakşehir win, Başakşehir 2-0 Kocaelispor.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (94/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Başakşehir have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Kocaelispor have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |  Başakşehir | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | LW |
| 11 |  Kocaelispor | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
M. Turkmen
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Başakşehir
Kocaelispor
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RizesporFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor?+
Our AI model favors Başakşehir to win, with a 58% probability (Draw 25%, Kocaelispor 17%).
What time does Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).