Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun

Super League· Regular Season - 24
LLWWGoals 27-162nd in league
WDWWGoals 17-105th in league
Home6W 4D 3L(27-18)
Away3W 3D 6L(23-26)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 15'Yuning Zhang
  2. 36'Dawhan (Fábio Abreu)
  3. 46'Chugui Ye (Caio Vinicius)
  4. 50'Yuning Zhang (Fábio Abreu)
  5. 58'Abdusalam Bunyamin (Zhang Chenliang)
  6. 62'Deng Jiefu (Xizhe Zhang)
  7. 63'Wang Gang (Tze-Nam Yue)
  8. 65'Oscar Taty Maritu (Ole Christian Saeter)
  9. 69'Serginho (Dawhan)
  10. 80'Xin Xu (Liuyu Duan)
  11. 81'Ole Christian Saeter (Cleber)
  12. 81'Zhang Chenliang (Huang Zichang)
  13. 84'Yuning Zhang (Lei Li)
  14. 85'Abdusalam Bunyamin (Han Zilong)
  15. 86'Caio Vinicius
  16. 90+1'Alexandru Ioniţă II (Caio Vinicius)

Lineups

Beijing GuoanYunnan Yukun
2.7
Goals/game
1.7
1.6
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Beijing Guoan win
63%
Draw
19%
Yunnan Yukun win
18%
68.1%BTTS
67.9%Over 2.5
19.2%Beijing Guoan clean sheet
15.7%Yunnan Yukun clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests that Beijing Guoan holds an advantage in this matchup, with a strong recent form of four wins in their last five games. In contrast, Yunnan Yukun's away form reveals difficulties, having won only 3 out of 11 matches on the road this season. Given their head-to-head success and current standings, Beijing Guoan is favored to secure a victory, potentially finishing with a scoreline of 2-1.

  • Beijing Guoan unbeaten in last 5 matches with 4 wins
  • Yunnan Yukun has struggled in away games, only winning 3 of 11
  • Head-to-head history shows Beijing Guoan winning last 2 encounters
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
99/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Beijing Guoan

  • Historical edgeBeijing Guoan

    Beijing Guoan have won 2 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.

    2/2 H2H wins
  • Good recent formBeijing Guoan

    Beijing Guoan have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Strong recent formYunnan Yukun

    Yunnan Yukun are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.

    4W 1D 0L
  • Strong home recordBeijing Guoan

    Beijing Guoan have won 6 of their last 13 home matches.

    6/13 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Beijing Guoan at 63% — final result was a draw, Beijing Guoan 3-3 Yunnan Yukun.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (99/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Beijing Guoan1.45market 69% · model 63%
Draw4.83market 20.7% · model 19%
Yunnan Yukun5.39market 18.5% · model 18%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Beijing Guoan have averaged 2.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Yunnan Yukun have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Beijing Guoan wins
0Draws
0Yunnan Yukun wins
4-1Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Beijing Guoan1.45best 1.50
Draw4.83best 5.40
Yunnan Yukun5.39best 6.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.26best 1.28
Under 2.53.56best 3.85

Both teams to score

Yes1.38best 1.40
No2.83best 3.00

Double chance

Beijing Guoan/Draw1.13best 1.15
Beijing Guoan/Yunnan Yukun1.15best 1.18
Draw/Yunnan Yukun2.58best 2.88

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.40best 3.40
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes11.00best 11.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.05best 1.05

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Beijing Guoan1.45 0.01
Draw4.83 0.24
Yunnan Yukun5.39 0.18
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Beijing Guoan win-0.7pp
AI
63%
Market
63.7%
Draw-0.1pp
AI
19%
Market
19.1%
Yunnan Yukun win+0.9pp
AI
18%
Market
17.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
Beijing Guoan
241185+1636WWWW
5
Yunnan Yukun
241059+435WWLW

Pre-match comparison

2.7Goals scored per game1.7
1.6Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Beijing Guoan

0-15'
0%
16-30'
21.1%
31-45'
21.1%
46-60'
21.1%
61-75'
15.8%
76-90+'
21.1%

Yunnan Yukun

0-15'
7.1%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
21.4%
46-60'
21.4%
61-75'
21.4%
76-90+'
28.6%

More Super League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun?+

Our AI model favors Beijing Guoan to win, with a 63% probability (Draw 19%, Yunnan Yukun 18%).

What time does Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).