Belgrano Cordoba vs Independ. Rivadavia

Liga Profesional Argentina· Clausura - 5
DWLLGoals 7-85th in league
WDLDGoals 9-91st in league
Home4W 2D 2L(11-5)
Away4W 3D 0L(10-5)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 30'L. Sabato
  2. 34'Leonardo Morales (A. Falcon)
  3. 42'L. Passerini
  4. 42'T. Bottari
  5. 46'T. Bottari (S. Moreyra)
  6. 46'Emiliano Rigoni
  7. 60'Kevin Vázquez (A. Arce)
  8. 60'J. Florentín (L. Bucca)
  9. 60'G. Rios (M. Salas)
  10. 61'I. Villalba
  11. 65'M. Salas
  12. 68'L. Sabato (Luciano Gomez)
  13. 68'D. Crego
  14. 77'Santiago Longo
  15. 78'Emiliano Rigoni (R. Hernandes)
  16. 79'A. Sanchez (Santiago Longo)

Lineups

Belgrano CordobaIndepend. Rivadavia
0.7
Goals/game
0.9
0.8
Conceded/game
0.9

AI match analysis

Belgrano Cordoba win
47.84%
Draw
30.68%
Independ. Rivadavia win
21.48%
31.5%BTTS
23%Over 2.5
42.7%Belgrano Cordoba clean sheet
44.9%Independ. Rivadavia clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

The match analysis indicates a competitive encounter with Belgrano Cordoba showing strength at home, evidenced by their previous successes against Independ. Rivadavia. However, Independ. Rivadavia's impressive away record could pose a challenge. The numbers suggest a close match, leaning slightly in favor of the home side in terms of historical performance.

  • Belgrano Cordoba unbeaten in last 3 home matches against Independ. Rivadavia
  • Independ. Rivadavia has not lost an away match this season, with 4 wins
  • Belgrano Cordoba currently positioned 4th in league standings while Independ. Rivadavia is 1st
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
81/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Belgrano Cordoba

  • Poor recent formBelgrano Cordoba

    Belgrano Cordoba have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Historical edgeIndepend. Rivadavia

    Independ. Rivadavia have won 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

    2/4 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionIndepend. Rivadavia

    Independ. Rivadavia sit 4 places above Belgrano Cordoba in the table.

    #1 vs #5
  • Strong home recordBelgrano Cordoba

    Belgrano Cordoba have won 4 of their last 8 home matches.

    4/8 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Belgrano Cordoba at 47.84% — final result was Belgrano Cordoba win, Belgrano Cordoba 2-0 Independ. Rivadavia.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (81/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Belgrano Cordoba2.00market 50% · model 47.84%
Draw3.06market 32.7% · model 30.68%
Independ. Rivadavia4.14market 24.2% · model 21.48%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Belgrano Cordoba have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Independ. Rivadavia have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 0 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Belgrano Cordoba wins
1Draws
2Independ. Rivadavia wins
2-5Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Belgrano Cordoba2.00best 2.06
Draw3.06best 3.30
Independ. Rivadavia4.14best 4.55

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.56best 2.70
Under 2.51.47best 1.52

Both teams to score

Yes2.16best 2.20
No1.63best 1.67

Double chance

Belgrano Cordoba/Draw1.21best 1.25
Belgrano Cordoba/Independ. Rivadavia1.34best 1.36
Draw/Independ. Rivadavia1.78best 1.84

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.10best 2.10
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.66best 1.67
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.30best 3.40

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Belgrano Cordoba2.00 0.08
Draw3.06 0.12
Independ. Rivadavia4.14 0.34
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Belgrano Cordoba win+1pp
AI
47.84%
Market
46.8%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
30.68%
Market
30.6%
Independ. Rivadavia win-1.1pp
AI
21.48%
Market
22.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
5
Belgrano Cordoba
16754+426WWDL
1
Independ. Rivadavia
161042+1434LWLW

Pre-match comparison

0.7Goals scored per game0.9
0.8Goals conceded per game0.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

N. Arasa

4.33Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Belgrano Cordoba

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
66.7%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
0%

Independ. Rivadavia

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
12.5%
76-90+'
87.5%

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Belgrano Cordoba vs Independ. Rivadavia?+

Our AI model favors Belgrano Cordoba to win, with a 47.84% probability (Draw 30.68%, Independ. Rivadavia 21.48%).

What time does Belgrano Cordoba vs Independ. Rivadavia kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 10:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).