Bishkek City vs Alga

Premier League· Regular Season - 20
Bishkek City
13Full-time
Alga
LLWDGoals 9-1713th in league
DDLLGoals 7-122nd in league
Home2W 4D 5L(9-16)
Away6W 2D 2L(19-11)

Value found

+24.5% edge

Draw

2.78AI fair odds
3.46Bookmaker odds
+24.5%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Bishkek CityAlga
0.9
Goals/game
0.7
1.7
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Bishkek City win
33%
Draw
36%
Alga win
31%
45.4%BTTS
39.1%Over 2.5
30.1%Bishkek City clean sheet
35%Alga clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The analysis suggests a competitive match given the recent struggles of both teams, with Bishkek City winless in their last five matches while Alga has only managed one win in their past five. Bishkek City's home form shows they have a tendency to concede goals, averaging 1.7 against per game, whereas Alga's away form indicates they could capitalize on this despite recent head-to-head results being balanced. A low-scoring draw could be on the cards based on the teams' scoring averages and overall form.

  • Bishkek City is winless in their last 5 matches, with 4 losses.
  • Alga has only 1 win in their last 5 matches, indicating possible struggles.
  • Bishkek City's home scoring average is low at 0.9 goals per game.
  • Alga's away record is solid with 5 wins out of 9 matches this season.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
54/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI leans toward a draw

  • Historical edgeBishkek City

    Bishkek City have won 1 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.

    1/2 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionAlga

    Alga sit 11 places above Bishkek City in the table.

    #2 vs #13
  • Weak home recordBishkek City

    Bishkek City have won 2 of their last 11 home matches.

    2/11 home wins
  • Strong away recordAlga

    Alga have won 6 of their last 10 away matches.

    6/10 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Draw at 36% — final result was Alga win, Bishkek City 1-3 Alga.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (54/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Alga1.84market 54.2% · model 31%
Draw3.46market 28.9% · model 36%
Bishkek City3.58market 27.9% · model 33%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Bishkek City have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Alga have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Bishkek City wins
1Draws
0Alga wins
3-1Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Bishkek City3.58best 3.84
Draw3.46best 3.60
Alga1.84best 1.91

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.71best 1.95
Under 2.52.02best 2.17

Both teams to score

Yes1.56best 1.57
No2.29best 2.34

Double chance

Bishkek City/Draw1.80best 1.90
Bishkek City/Alga1.26best 1.29
Draw/Alga1.24best 1.29

Average and best price across 6 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Bishkek City3.58 0.02
Draw3.46 0.16
Alga1.84 0.01
24 Aug24 Aug

Model vs market

Bishkek City win+7.9pp
AI
33%
Market
25.1%
Draw+10pp
AI
36%
Market
26%
Alga win-17.8pp
AI
31%
Market
48.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
13
Bishkek City
20488-920DDDD
2
Alga
201262+1942LLDW

Pre-match comparison

0.9Goals scored per game0.7
1.7Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

More Premier League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Bishkek City vs Alga?+

Our AI model gives a draw the highest probability at 36%, with Bishkek City at 33% and Alga at 31%.

What time does Bishkek City vs Alga kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 24, 2026, 2:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).