Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd

League Cup· Round of 64
LWDWGoals 12-11
WWDDGoals 15-12
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 11'Y. Ohashi (O. Afolayan)
  2. 20'T. Cannon
  3. 46'S. Morsy (K. Montgomery)
  4. 46'H. Pickering (H. Pates)
  5. 46'Joe Rothwell (Oliver Arblaster)
  6. 46'D. De Neve (Todd Cantwell)
  7. 56'O. Afolayan (R. Morishita)
  8. 58'Jaïro Riedewald (Kalvin Phillips)
  9. 59'L. Marsh (C. O'Hare)
  10. 67'Matt Doherty (F. Seriki)
  11. 72'J. Fevrier (F. Vare)
  12. 75'Rhys Norrington-Davies (S. McCallum)
  13. 81'R. Donovan

Lineups

BlackburnSheffield Utd
1.2
Goals/game
1.5
1.1
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Blackburn win
34%
Draw
30%
Sheffield Utd win
36%
50.8%BTTS
45.6%Over 2.5
27.3%Blackburn clean sheet
30.1%Sheffield Utd clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a tightly contested match, as both teams have shown fluctuating recent forms with Blackburn achieving a mix of results and Sheffield Utd struggling for wins. The head-to-head history indicates parity, with Blackburn slightly favoring their recent encounters. Given the scoring averages of both teams, a draw with a scoreline of 1-1 appears plausible.

  • Blackburn unbeaten in last 3 home matches
  • Sheffield Utd is yet to win in last 2 matches
  • Historically, teams have closely matched in recent head-to-head encounters
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
55/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Sheffield Utd

  • Historical edgeSheffield Utd

    Sheffield Utd have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Good recent formBlackburn

    Blackburn have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Sharper attackSheffield Utd

    Sheffield Utd are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game
  • Tighter defenseBlackburn

    Blackburn are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.1/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Sheffield Utd at 36% — final result was Sheffield Utd win, Blackburn 1-2 Sheffield Utd.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (55/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Sheffield Utd2.56market 39.1% · model 36%
Blackburn2.68market 37.3% · model 34%
Draw3.32market 30.1% · model 30%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Blackburn have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Sheffield Utd have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Blackburn wins
1Draws
5Sheffield Utd wins
8-14Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Blackburn2.68best 2.76
Draw3.32best 3.40
Sheffield Utd2.56best 2.65

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.85best 1.90
Under 2.51.93best 2.00

Both teams to score

Yes1.65best 1.70
No2.12best 2.20

Double chance

Blackburn/Draw1.49best 1.55
Blackburn/Sheffield Utd1.31best 1.35
Draw/Sheffield Utd1.45best 1.50

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.42best 3.50
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.52best 3.55
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.27best 1.28
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.28best 1.28

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Blackburn2.68 0.04
Draw3.32 0.04
Sheffield Utd2.56 0.04
22 Aug25 Aug

Model vs market

Blackburn win-1pp
AI
34%
Market
35%
Draw+1.7pp
AI
30%
Market
28.3%
Sheffield Utd win-0.7pp
AI
36%
Market
36.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game1.5
1.1Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Blackburn

0-15'
0%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
80%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More League Cup predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd?+

Our AI model favors Sheffield Utd to win, with a 36% probability (Draw 30%, Blackburn 34%).

What time does Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 6:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).