Blackpool vs Lincoln

League Cup· Round of 64
Blackpool
14Full-time
Lincoln
WWDWGoals 14-5
WWLLGoals 19-13
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 31'Zachary Ashworth
  2. 35'Mason Melia
  3. 36'Tanto Olaofe
  4. 45'Leighton Clarkson
  5. 52'Zachary Ashworth
  6. 52'Zachary Ashworth
  7. 53'T. Bayliss (Callum Elder)
  8. 55'Robert Street (T. Bayliss)
  9. 57'Josh Bowler
  10. 60'H. Coulson
  11. 64'Tom Bloxham (Kylian Kouassi)
  12. 64'Josh Bowler (Jordan Lee Williams)
  13. 71'Mason Melia (Reeco Hackett-Fairchild)
  14. 71'Robert Street (Freddie Draper)
  15. 72'T. Bayliss (Ivan Varfolomeev)
  16. 77'Callum Elder (J. Honohan)
  17. 85'Tanto Olaofe (Ethan Wheatley)
  18. 85'Yunus Konak (Dom Jefferies)

Lineups

BlackpoolLincoln
1.4
Goals/game
1.9
0.5
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

Blackpool win
29%
Draw
27%
Lincoln win
44%
51.8%BTTS
46.9%Over 2.5
30.1%Blackpool clean sheet
25.9%Lincoln clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Blackpool is currently in solid form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches, but Lincoln's recent performance includes three losses, indicating vulnerabilities. Historically, Lincoln has dominated the head-to-head matchups against Blackpool, which could influence the upcoming game. This context points towards a possible victory for Lincoln, despite the close bookmaker-implied probabilities.

  • Blackpool unbeaten in last 5 matches with 4 wins
  • Lincoln has lost 3 of their last 5 matches
  • Historically, Lincoln has a strong head-to-head record against Blackpool, winning 4 out of the last 5 encounters
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
66/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Lincoln

  • Strong recent formBlackpool

    Blackpool are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.

    4W 1D 0L
  • Good recent formLincoln

    Lincoln have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Sharper attackLincoln

    Lincoln are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.9/game
  • Tighter defenseBlackpool

    Blackpool are conceding just 0.5 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.5/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Lincoln at 44% — final result was Lincoln win, Blackpool 1-4 Lincoln.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (66/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Lincoln2.24market 44.6% · model 44%
Blackpool3.08market 32.5% · model 29%
Draw3.40market 29.4% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Blackpool have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Lincoln have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Blackpool wins
3Draws
2Lincoln wins
11-13Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Blackpool3.08best 3.30
Draw3.40best 3.55
Lincoln2.24best 2.40

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.77best 1.84
Under 2.52.01best 2.05

Both teams to score

Yes1.61best 1.65
No2.19best 2.25

Double chance

Blackpool/Draw1.63best 1.73
Blackpool/Lincoln1.29best 1.34
Draw/Lincoln1.35best 1.42

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.19best 1.20
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.27best 4.33
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.33best 1.33
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.13best 3.25

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Blackpool3.08 0.27
Draw3.40 0.10
Lincoln2.24 0.18
22 Aug25 Aug

Model vs market

Blackpool win-1.5pp
AI
29%
Market
30.5%
Draw-0.6pp
AI
27%
Market
27.6%
Lincoln win+2.1pp
AI
44%
Market
41.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.4Goals scored per game1.9
0.5Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Blackpool

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

Lincoln

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Match statistics

38%Possession62%
Expected goals (xG)
3Shots on target9
8Total shots14
4Shots off target3
1Blocked shots2
4Shots inside the box8
4Shots outside the box6
1Corners1
1Offsides1
12Fouls10
4Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
5Goalkeeper saves2
364Total passes587
294Accurate passes523
81%Pass accuracy89%

Player ratings

Box score

Blackpool

17.3
More stats
Shots1/2 on target
Passes43%
Tackles1
Duels50%
7.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes39%
Tackles5
Duels67%
22
22C. HamiltonM · 90'
6.2
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes10%
Tackles
Duels40%
More stats
Shots on target
Passes31%
Tackles
Duels
14Tom BloxhamF · 64'
6.2
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes12%
Tackles1
Duels33%
15
15H. CoulsonM · 90'
🟨5.9
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes13%
Tackles
Duels38%
2
2A. LyonsD · 90'
5.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes26%
Tackles2
Duels45%
4Oliver CaseyD · 90'
7.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes55%
Tackles4
Duels75%
🟥5.2
More stats
Shots on target
Passes21%
Tackles1
Duels25%
11Josh BowlerM · 64'
🟨6.9
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes18%
Tackles1
Duels50%
26Finley MunroeD · 90'
5.2
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes18%
Tackles
Duels0%
Bench (8)
27Kylian KouassiF · 26'
6.7
More stats
Shots on target
Passes1%
Tackles
Duels50%
6.7
More stats
Shots on target
Passes7%
Tackles2
Duels67%

Lincoln

19Tanto OlaofeF · 85'
18.2
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes12%
Tackles1
Duels69%
20Callum ElderM · 90'
1🅰️ 18.5
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes35%
Tackles5
Duels60%
5
7.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes88%
Tackles1
Duels33%
8
8T. BaylissM · 72'
1🅰️ 18.6
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes43%
Tackles
Duels57%
7.7
More stats
Shots on target
Passes77%
Tackles
Duels100%
46Joe GauciG · 90'
6.7
More stats
Shots on target
Passes29%
Tackles
Duels
17Robert StreetF · 71'
17.2
More stats
Shots1/3 on target
Passes12%
Tackles
Duels42%
6Ryley TowlerD · 90'
7.3
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes71%
Tackles
Duels40%
23
23J. HonohanM · 90'
🅰️ 16.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes35%
Tackles2
Duels67%
26Yunus KonakM · 85'
7.2
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes53%
Tackles3
Duels50%
10Mason MeliaF · 71'
🟨5.9
More stats
Shots1/2 on target
Passes13%
Tackles
Duels38%
Bench (9)
22
More stats
Shots on target
Passes10%
Tackles2
Duels67%
34Freddie DraperF · 19'
6.2
More stats
Shots on target
Passes9%
Tackles
Duels0%
16Dom JefferiesM · 9'
6.6
More stats
Shots on target
Passes9%
Tackles
Duels
6.7
More stats
Shots2/2 on target
Passes27%
Tackles
Duels
6.5
More stats
Shots on target
Passes
Tackles
Duels0%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Blackpool vs Lincoln?+

Our AI model favors Lincoln to win, with a 44% probability (Draw 27%, Blackpool 29%).

What time does Blackpool vs Lincoln kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 6:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).