Blooming vs Aurora
Value found
+2.7% edgeAurora win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 17'G. Centella (Roberto Hinojosa)
- 28'Alfredo Amarilla
- 37'H. Sánchez
- 45+1'Alfredo Amarilla
- 45+1'Alfredo Amarilla
- 46'Michael Rangel (L. Barro)
- 46'H. Vaca (R. Ramallo)
- 46'Ariel Flores (L. Viviani)
- 58'S. Altamirano (A. Terrazas)
- 60'Moisés Villarroel (Roberto Hinojosa)
- 62'Julián Velázquez
- 67'Roberto Hinojosa
- 68'G. Centella (M. Abisab)
- 70'L. Barboza
- 72'M. Enoumba
- 73'Roberto Hinojosa (A. Oliveros)
- 73'Moisés Villarroel (R. Spenhay)
- 76'L. Barro
- 80'Bayron Garcés (C. Menacho)
- 80'M. Enoumba (J. Gonzales)
- 86'R. Spenhay
- 87'J. Valverde (E. Alvarez)
- 90+3'R. Spenhay
- 90+3'R. Spenhay
- 1.6
- Goals/game
- 1.6
- 2.4
- Conceded/game
- 1.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Blooming has a strong home record this season, remaining unbeaten with three wins and four draws. Aurora's away form has been less reliable, reflected in their higher goals conceded average. Although their recent head-to-head matches have been competitive, Blooming's recent win at home against Aurora may favor them in this match.
- Blooming unbeaten at home this season with 3 wins and 4 draws
- Aurora has a poor away defensive record, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game
- Recent head-to-head results favor Blooming, with 2 wins in the last 5 matches against Aurora
- Blooming's recent form shows a mix, but they managed to win the prior encounter against Aurora at home.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Blooming
- Historical edgeAurora
Aurora have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionAurora
Aurora sit 1 place above Blooming in the table.
#8 vs #9 - Strong home recordBlooming
Blooming have won 4 of their last 9 home matches.
4/9 home wins - Weak away recordAurora
Aurora have won 2 of their last 9 away matches.
2/9 away wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Blooming at 50% — final result was Blooming win, Blooming 3-0 Aurora.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (87/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Blooming have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Aurora have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Blooming
AuroraAuroraBloomingBloomingAuroraAuroraBloomingAuroraBloomingBloomingAuroraAuroraBloomingBloomingAuroraOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 8 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
J. Revollo
Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Blooming
Aurora
More Primera División predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Blooming vs Aurora?+
Our AI model favors Blooming to win, with a 50% probability (Draw 25%, Aurora 25%).
What time does Blooming vs Aurora kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).